{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOOUT","ticker":"KXALITOOUT","slug":"KXALITOOUT","title":"Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154708.28,"volume_24hr":118.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.0126776695251465,"normalized_volume":35.51191711425781,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":70217.31,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-724.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-23T22:22:17.178727Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T22:22:17.178727Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoout/will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court/kxalitoout","chart_24h":[1108.84,968.8399999999999,354.33,73.62,45.13,118.5],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOOUT-27JAN01","event_id":"KXALITOOUT","slug":"KXALITOOUT-27JAN01","question":"Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":47529.0,"volume_24hr":44.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-724.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.9188055992126465,"normalized_volume":33.92754364013672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T22:23:04.612441Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T22:22:17.443505Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoout/will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court/kxalitoout","event_title":"Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOOUT-26SEP01","event_id":"KXALITOOUT","slug":"KXALITOOUT-26SEP01","question":"Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before September?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":63016.68,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-295.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.975769519805908,"normalized_volume":35.72801208496094,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T23:45:55.935856Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T22:22:17.443505Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoout/will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court/kxalitoout","event_title":"Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOOUT-26JUL01","event_id":"KXALITOOUT","slug":"KXALITOOUT-26JUL01","question":"Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before July?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.037,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":44162.6,"volume_24hr":29.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.008,"volume_24h_change":29.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9650216102600098,"normalized_volume":33.46625900268555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T22:23:04.612441Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T22:22:17.443505Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoout/will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court/kxalitoout","event_title":"Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.002]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXALITOOUT-26APR01","event_id":"KXALITOOUT","slug":"KXALITOOUT-26APR01","question":"Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before April?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2026","description":"If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-17T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2602.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.093629837036133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxalitoout/will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court/kxalitoout","event_title":"Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXALITOOUT","as_of":"2026-06-24T00:56:10.286140Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?\" — top market at 15% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}