{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","ticker":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2822.67,"volume_24hr":2822.67,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.17024803161621,"normalized_volume":17.213668823242188,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2822.67,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Event does not qualify","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.9,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2715.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-01T01:12:53.788284Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T01:12:53.788284Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.809218Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","chart_24h":[0.0,2715.0,2718.86,2735.01,2735.01,2822.67],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-NQE","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-NQE","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":2715.0,"volume_24hr":2715.0,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":2715.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.0513858795166,"normalized_volume":19.4622745513916,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:46:39.390980Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:46:39.390980Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-CHIP","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-CHIP","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Chip","description":"If \n John Ternus says Chip as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":43.55,"volume_24hr":43.55,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":43.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.314657688140869,"normalized_volume":4.487163066864014,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T01:12:53.967031Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T01:12:53.967031Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-IOS27","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-IOS27","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"iOS 27","description":"If \n John Ternus says iOS 27 as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":10.69,"volume_24hr":10.69,"prob_24h_change":0.45,"volume_24h_change":10.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.228978395462036,"normalized_volume":1.881925344467163,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T23:43:25.237403Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T23:43:25.237403Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ECO","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ECO","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Ecosystem","description":"If \n John Ternus says Ecosystem as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":47.97,"volume_24hr":47.97,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":47.97,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.582795143127441,"normalized_volume":4.7135515213012695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T01:12:53.967031Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T01:12:53.967031Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ATV","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ATV","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Apple TV","description":"If \n John Ternus says Apple TV as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":5.46,"volume_24hr":5.46,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":5.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.283315896987915,"normalized_volume":1.083503007888794,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T23:43:25.237403Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T23:43:25.237403Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AFFO","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AFFO","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Afford / Affordable","description":"If \n John Ternus says Afford / Affordable as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AI","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AI","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Apple Intelligence","description":"If \n John Ternus says Apple Intelligence as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AIRP","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AIRP","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"AirPods Pro","description":"If \n John Ternus says AirPods Pro as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AIRT","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AIRT","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"AirTag","description":"If \n John Ternus says AirTag as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ALUM","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ALUM","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Aluminum","description":"If \n John Ternus says Aluminum as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AWSE","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-AWSE","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Apple Watch SE","description":"If \n John Ternus says Apple Watch SE as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-DYNI","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-DYNI","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Dynamic Island","description":"If \n John Ternus says Dynamic Island as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-FOLD","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-FOLD","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Fold / Folding / Foldable","description":"If \n John Ternus says Fold / Folding / Foldable as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-HARD","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-HARD","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Hardware","description":"If \n John Ternus says Hardware as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-HF","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-HF","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Health / Fitness","description":"If \n John Ternus says Health / Fitness as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-HR","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-HR","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Heart Rate","description":"If \n John Ternus says Heart Rate as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-SAT","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-SAT","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Satellite","description":"If \n John Ternus says Satellite as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-SIRI","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-SIRI","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Siri","description":"If \n John Ternus says Siri as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-TAR","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-TAR","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Tariff","description":"If \n John Ternus says Tariff as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ULTRA","event_id":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","slug":"KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09-ULTRA","question":"What will John Ternus say during Apple Surprise and Shine address?","group_item_title":"Ultra","description":"If \n John Ternus says Ultra as part of Apple Surprise and Shine address\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nHow this is resolved\nVideo of the Apple Surprise and Shine address using the live broadcast or stream.\nIf a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Apple Surprise and Shine address will be used.\n\nPayout Criteria\nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).\nJohn Ternus speaking in an official capacity.\nFor phrases with slashes like \"Doge/Dogecoin,\" either word satisfies the criterion.\n\nDoesn't count for payout\nGrammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPresence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.\n\nPayout for cancellations and delays\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T17:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-24T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T21:59:10.730298Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T17:54:40.950256Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxapplemention/what-will-john-ternus-say-during-his-apple-keynote/kxapplemention-26sep09","event_title":"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAPPLEMENTION-26SEP09","as_of":"2026-09-01T01:38:54.482098Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?\" — top market at 90% probability across 20 outcomes","source_url":null}}