{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN","ticker":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN","title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2051760.53,"volume_24hr":1990.5600000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.02853775024414,"normalized_volume":53.48185729980469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":558228.99,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"John Brennan","top_outcome_probability":0.44,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":187.14,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:46:10.409366Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:46:10.409366Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","chart_24h":[3673.58,3652.88,2887.62,2801.11,2985.4100000000003,3012.7599999999998,1462.89,1462.89,1583.56,1573.06,1578.6100000000001,1616.43,1639.38,1822.1699999999998,1818.8799999999999,1783.95,1832.29,1795.4,1855.03,1859.03,1314.76,1318.76,1361.94,1356.94,1353.66,2506.94,2177.2000000000003,2177.2000000000003,2207.32,1990.5600000000002],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-JBRE","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-JBRE","question":"Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"John Brennan","description":"If John Brennan is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. 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To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":125890.43,"volume_24hr":1215.9,"prob_24h_change":0.013999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":938.8100000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.792856216430664,"normalized_volume":40.152915954589844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:47:32.398791Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:46:10.598732Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-KPAT","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-KPAT","question":"Will Kash Patel be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Kash Patel","description":"If Kash Patel is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5467.8,"volume_24hr":43.18,"prob_24h_change":-0.007999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":43.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.490860462188721,"normalized_volume":21.56904411315918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:18:38.930167Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:17:22.476840Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.078,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-GNEW","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-GNEW","question":"Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":"If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.062,0.938],"probability":0.062,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-05T20:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":23857.68,"volume_24hr":133.08,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-500.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.508655548095703,"normalized_volume":29.584125518798828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:34:47.087542Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:33:28.566751Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.062,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062,0.062]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-BOM","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-BOM","question":"Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Barack Obama","description":"If Barack Obama is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":191624.77,"volume_24hr":82.66,"prob_24h_change":-0.022000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":-649.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.132242679595947,"normalized_volume":43.07733154296875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:13:07.652115Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:11:52.996455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.082,0.082,0.082,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-PBON","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-PBON","question":"Will Pam Bondi be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Pam Bondi","description":"If Pam Bondi is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.018000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":11385.51,"volume_24hr":9.7,"prob_24h_change":0.009000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":9.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7580580711364746,"normalized_volume":25.401357650756836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T14:25:43.771727Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T14:25:43.771727Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.051,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.05,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-BCLIN","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-BCLIN","question":"Will Bill Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Bill Clinton","description":"If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. 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To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-05T21:00:08Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":24313.16,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.695234298706055,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-THOM","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-THOM","question":"Will Tom Homan be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Tom Homan","description":"If Tom Homan is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. 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To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-30T23:05:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":3186.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.9476375579834,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T04:02:46.953511Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T04:02:46.953511Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-SRIC","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-SRIC","question":"Will Susan Rice be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Susan Rice","description":"If Susan Rice is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. 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To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.091,0.909],"probability":0.091,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":2322.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.49237060546875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.091,0.091,0.091]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-LLYN","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-LLYN","question":"Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Loretta Lynch","description":"If Loretta Lynch is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7257.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.0114803314209,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:15:42.108738Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:15:42.108738Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-BNET","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-BNET","question":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"If Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.0030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-10T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":5278.3,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.392650604248047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:37.043324Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:37.043324Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-JBID","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-JBID","question":"Will Joe Biden be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":"If Joe Biden is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.073,0.927],"probability":0.073,"spread":0.03900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":7807.37,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.390962600708008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:50.874726Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:50.874726Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.073,0.073,0.073]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-COWE","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-COWE","question":"Will Candace Owens be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Candace Owens","description":"If Candace Owens is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1827.29,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.426963806152344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-JKER","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-JKER","question":"Will John Kerry be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"John Kerry","description":"If John Kerry is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.053,0.947],"probability":0.053,"spread":0.017000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-23T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":6400.69,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.365684509277344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:24:48.807548Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXARREST-27JAN-LJAE","event_id":"KXARREST-27JAN","slug":"KXARREST-27JAN-LJAE","question":"Will Lee Jae Myung be arrested before Jan 2027?","group_item_title":"Lee Jae Myung","description":"If Lee Jae Myung is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual \"surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":377.67,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.261978149414062,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:50.874726Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:29:50.874726Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:53:31.713362Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxarrest/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/kxarrest-27jan","event_title":"Who will be arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXARREST-27JAN","as_of":"2026-06-21T14:35:34.955639Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will be arrested before 2027?\" — top market at 11% probability across 25 outcomes","source_url":null}}