{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","ticker":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":192.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.1972503662109375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":39.35,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Richard Marles","top_outcome_probability":0.08,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-13T00:11:16.771929Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:11:16.771929Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.499968Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-RMAR","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-RMAR","question":"Will Richard Marles become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Richard Marles","description":"If Richard Marles becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":57.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.316131591796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-JCHA","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-JCHA","question":"Will Jim Chalmers become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Jim Chalmers","description":"If Jim Chalmers becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":65.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.568165302276611,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-JHUM","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-JHUM","question":"Will Jane Hume become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Jane Hume","description":"If Jane Hume becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.728797912597656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-AALB","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-AALB","question":"Will Anthony Albanese become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Anthony Albanese","description":"If Anthony Albanese becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-AHAS","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-AHAS","question":"Will Andrew Hastie become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Andrew Hastie","description":"If Andrew Hastie becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-ATAY","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-ATAY","question":"Will Angus Taylor become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Angus Taylor","description":"If Angus Taylor becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-PHAN","event_id":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","slug":"KXAUSTPM-28SEP23-PHAN","question":"Will Pauline Hanson become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?","group_item_title":"Pauline Hanson","description":"If Pauline Hanson becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Sep 23, 2029, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T20:31:00Z","end_date":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-09-23T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T15:19:22.901489Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:26.662294Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaustpm/prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/kxaustpm-28sep23","event_title":"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAUSTPM-28SEP23","as_of":"2026-07-21T19:25:20.329460Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?\" — top market at 8% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}