{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","ticker":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5520.79,"volume_24hr":5520.79,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.858924865722656,"normalized_volume":20.091964721679688,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4880.41,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Knick / Knicks","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.9,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":396.6,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:36.279131Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:36.279131Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:13.813566Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","chart_24h":[0.0,896.5,1855.6100000000001,2057.7400000000002,2300.2400000000002,5477.15],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-KNIC","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-KNIC","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Knick / Knicks","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Knick / Knicks as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":396.6,"volume_24hr":396.6,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":396.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.9677152633667,"normalized_volume":10.047819137573242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-LEBR","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-LEBR","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"LeBron","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says LeBron as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":446.87,"volume_24hr":446.87,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":446.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.40837287902832,"normalized_volume":10.451517105102539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:17:10.610623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:15:36.765352Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-BRUN","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-BRUN","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Brunson","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Brunson as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":474.94,"volume_24hr":474.94,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":474.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.636713981628418,"normalized_volume":10.660706520080566,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T17:04:17.260336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T17:04:17.260336Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.38,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-WORL","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-WORL","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"World Cup","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says World Cup as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":266.05,"volume_24hr":266.05,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":266.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.557584762573242,"normalized_volume":8.755961418151855,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.65,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-OLYM","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-OLYM","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Olympic / Olympics","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Olympic / Olympics as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":446.99,"volume_24hr":446.99,"prob_24h_change":0.73,"volume_24h_change":446.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.409374237060547,"normalized_volume":10.452434539794922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:17:10.610623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:15:36.765352Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.26,0.49,0.49,0.73]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-CURR","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-CURR","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Curry","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Curry as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":175.99,"volume_24hr":175.99,"prob_24h_change":0.72,"volume_24h_change":175.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.202141761779785,"normalized_volume":7.51420259475708,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:17:10.610623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:15:36.765352Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.44,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-HARR","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-HARR","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Harry Kane","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Harry Kane as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":304.65,"volume_24hr":304.65,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":304.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.025029182434082,"normalized_volume":9.184199333190918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.05,0.5,0.69,0.66,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-MESS","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-MESS","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Messi / Ronaldo","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Messi / Ronaldo as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":195.84,"volume_24hr":195.84,"prob_24h_change":0.41,"volume_24h_change":195.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.542484283447266,"normalized_volume":7.826000213623047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:30:36.230334Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:29:22.969955Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-SNL","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-SNL","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"SNL / Saturday Night Live","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says SNL / Saturday Night Live as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":77.31,"volume_24hr":77.31,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":77.31,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.821442127227783,"normalized_volume":5.333179950714111,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:03:18.980591Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:01:22.997643Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-ZOHR","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-ZOHR","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Zohran / Mamdani","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Zohran / Mamdani as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":180.23,"volume_24hr":180.23,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":180.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.27734088897705,"normalized_volume":7.583094596862793,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.09,0.04,0.42,0.27,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-CAIT","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-CAIT","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Caitlin Clark","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Caitlin Clark as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":169.82,"volume_24hr":169.82,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":169.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.090073585510254,"normalized_volume":7.411533832550049,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.07,0.03,0.22,0.21,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-GOLF","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-GOLF","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Golf / Golfer / Golfing","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Golf / Golfer / Golfing as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":642.16,"volume_24hr":642.16,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":642.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.801101684570312,"normalized_volume":11.727433204650879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:17:10.610623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:15:36.765352Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.46,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-TRUM","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-TRUM","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Trump","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Trump as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":134.95,"volume_24hr":134.95,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":134.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.3873820304870605,"normalized_volume":6.76777982711792,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.9,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-SEA","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-SEA","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Seahawks","description":"If \n Marcello Hernández says Seahawks as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":513.51,"volume_24hr":513.51,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":513.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.93272590637207,"normalized_volume":10.931891441345215,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:44:10.903495Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:42:37.449327Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.14,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-NQE","event_id":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","slug":"KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15-NQE","question":"What will Marcello Hernández say during 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nAdditional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. \nPromotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. \nFor the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original qualifying broadcast segments will be used for resolution.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Marcello Hernández speaking in an official capacity. If Marcello Hernández is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T14:57:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","volume":1094.88,"volume_24hr":1094.88,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":1094.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.998019218444824,"normalized_volume":13.740089416503906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:17:10.610623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:15:36.765352Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T14:58:14.024660Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxawardmention/what-will-marcello-hernndez-say-during-his-espys-opening-monologue/kxawardmention-26jul15","event_title":"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15","as_of":"2026-07-15T18:56:07.572577Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?\" — top market at 1% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}