{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","ticker":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2299.21,"volume_24hr":2299.21,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.0103816986084,"normalized_volume":13.389144897460938,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2238.2,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 150","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.39,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":324.02,"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:23:52.893810Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:23:52.893810Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.062395Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","chart_24h":[0.0,72.03999999999999,73.03999999999999,1756.04,1856.04,1913.19,2048.2,2299.21],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T150","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T150","question":"Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 150","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":324.02,"volume_24hr":324.02,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":324.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.5141019821167,"normalized_volume":8.706125259399414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T02:39:56.985488Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T02:37:10.558902Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.51,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T175","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T175","question":"Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 175","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":496.03,"volume_24hr":496.03,"prob_24h_change":0.16999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":496.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.571916580200195,"normalized_volume":10.031820297241211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:39:24.002911Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:39:24.002911Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.83]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T200","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T200","question":"Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 200","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":1143.0,"volume_24hr":1143.0,"prob_24h_change":0.46,"volume_24h_change":1143.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.034337997436523,"normalized_volume":12.906624794006348,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:39:24.002911Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:39:24.002911Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T225","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T225","question":"Will there be more than 225 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 225","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 225 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.060000000000000026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":250.01,"volume_24hr":250.01,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":250.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.333595275878906,"normalized_volume":7.94561243057251,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T03:08:39.936100Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T03:08:39.936100Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T275","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T275","question":"Will there be more than 275 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 275","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 275 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":3.0,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.776351809501648,"normalized_volume":0.5001453757286072,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T22:56:07.857233Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T22:56:07.857233Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T250","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T250","question":"Will there be more than 250 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 250","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":78.15,"volume_24hr":78.15,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":78.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.719297409057617,"normalized_volume":4.972965717315674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T02:23:43.687641Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T02:21:30.333469Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.49,0.49,0.12,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T300","event_id":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","slug":"KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02-T300","question":"Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"Above 300","description":"If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-28T20:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2969017028808594,"normalized_volume":0.835496723651886,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Yemen","Djibouti","Eritrea"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T23:41:12.986818Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T23:39:43.962618Z","added_at":"2026-07-28T21:00:45.263706Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbabelmandebweekly/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-727-82/kxbabelmandebweekly-26aug02","event_title":"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.09,0.09,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG02","as_of":"2026-07-29T03:50:37.739368Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)\" — top market at 46% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}