{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","ticker":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.316931247711182,"normalized_volume":3.786255359649658,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":40.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"SPD","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.13,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":40.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-25T20:30:03.713757Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T20:30:03.713757Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:57.051553Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-SPD","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-SPD","question":"Will SPD finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"SPD","description":"If SPD finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.674975872039795,"normalized_volume":4.2930216789245605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T05:53:07.157224Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T05:53:07.157224Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-AFD","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-AFD","question":"Will AfD finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"AfD","description":"If AfD finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T05:53:07.157224Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T05:53:07.157224Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-BSW","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-BSW","question":"Will BSW finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"BSW","description":"If BSW finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T05:53:07.157224Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T05:53:07.157224Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-CDU","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-CDU","question":"Will CDU finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"CDU","description":"If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T16:40:31.648439Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T16:40:31.648439Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-DLIN","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-DLIN","question":"Will Die Linke finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"Die Linke","description":"If Die Linke finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T12:21:16.886744Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T12:21:16.886744Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-FDP","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-FDP","question":"Will FDP finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"FDP","description":"If FDP finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T20:12:22.495488Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T20:12:22.495488Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-GRUN","event_id":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","slug":"KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4-GRUN","question":"Will Grüne finish 4th in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"Grüne","description":"If Grüne finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nThe party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES. Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night.\n\nRank is the party's position when all parties are ordered by descending certified seat total. Where two or more parties are tied, they are treated as tied at the higher rank and the next distinct seat total takes the rank immediately below the tied block, so ranks are skipped rather than shared. For this event all ranks are determined solely by the certified seat allocation, including for a party that withdraws but remains on the ballot.\n\nOnly the election to the Abgeordnetenhaus counts. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do NOT count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-20T16:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T12:21:16.886744Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T12:21:16.886744Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:11:58.119445Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlin4th/berlin-state-election-4th-place/kxberlin4th-26sep20-4","event_title":"Berlin State Election: 4th Place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBERLIN4TH-26SEP20-4","as_of":"2026-08-26T17:05:55.411454Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Berlin State Election: 4th Place\" — top market at 13% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}