{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","ticker":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","slug":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","title":"Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3593.8,"volume_24hr":3593.8,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.711767196655273,"normalized_volume":18.17179298400879,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3593.8,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"FDP","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":49.8,"updated_at":"2026-09-17T22:30:58.314188Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T22:30:58.314188Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:21.252461Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlinanyseat/which-of-these-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-berlin-state-election/kxberlinanyseat-26sep20","chart_24h":[0.0,3544.0,3593.8],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20-FDP","event_id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","slug":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20-FDP","question":"Will FDP win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"FDP","description":"If FDP has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.\n\nOnly seats in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus count. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","volume":49.8,"volume_24hr":49.8,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":49.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.786786079406738,"normalized_volume":4.802854537963867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T23:29:21.754859Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T23:29:21.754859Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:21.452986Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlinanyseat/which-of-these-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-berlin-state-election/kxberlinanyseat-26sep20","event_title":"Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20-VOLT","event_id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","slug":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20-VOLT","question":"Will Volt win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"Volt","description":"If Volt has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.\n\nOnly seats in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus count. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","volume":3544.0,"volume_24hr":3544.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":3544.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.05599021911621,"normalized_volume":20.79570198059082,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T22:01:58.139318Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T22:01:58.139318Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:21.452986Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlinanyseat/which-of-these-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-berlin-state-election/kxberlinanyseat-26sep20","event_title":"Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20-BSW","event_id":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","slug":"KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20-BSW","question":"Will BSW win at least 1 seat in the 2026 Berlin state election?","group_item_title":"BSW","description":"If BSW has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.\n\nOnly seats in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus count. Seats won in the district assembly (Bezirksverordnetenversammlung) elections held the same day do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.41000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-17T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-27T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T00:56:58.501593Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T00:56:58.501593Z","added_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:21.452986Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxberlinanyseat/which-of-these-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-berlin-state-election/kxberlinanyseat-26sep20","event_title":"Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBERLINANYSEAT-26SEP20","as_of":"2026-09-18T01:28:44.312020Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?\" — top market at 3% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}