{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-19T07:58:52.268868Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Best LLM at the end of the decade?\" — \"Anthropic\" leads at 19% across 34 outcomes as of 2026-10-19 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","ticker":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2595.09,"volume_24hr":2535.53,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.57372283935547,"normalized_volume":16.583053588867188,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":446.09,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4.98,"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:32:01.612423Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:32:01.612423Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.033653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","chart_24h":[12.0,640.0,1166.0,1174.55,1364.55,1964.55,2535.53],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":34,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ANTH","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ANTH","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"If Anthropic has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":52.54,"volume_24hr":4.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":4.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0278738737106323,"normalized_volume":4.932182788848877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:32:01.696916Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:32:01.696916Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-XAI","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-XAI","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"xAI","description":"If xAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":8.55,"volume_24hr":8.55,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":8.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6363908052444458,"normalized_volume":1.585133671760559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T20:43:09.482752Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T20:43:09.482752Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ESSN","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ESSN","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Essential AI","description":"If Essential AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1368.0,"volume_24hr":1356.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":1344.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.719995498657227,"normalized_volume":16.2358341217041,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:18:25.239776Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:18:25.239776Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.23,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-AMZN","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-AMZN","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"If Amazon has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1166.0,"volume_24hr":1166.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":566.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.028005599975586,"normalized_volume":15.525957107543945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:18:25.239776Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:18:25.239776Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ALI","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ALI","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"If Alibaba has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ARCE","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ARCE","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Arcee AI","description":"If Arcee AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-BAID","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-BAID","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"If Baidu has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-BYTE","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-BYTE","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"If ByteDance has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-CMOB","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-CMOB","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"China Mobile","description":"If China Mobile has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-COHR","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-COHR","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Cohere","description":"If Cohere has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-DSK","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-DSK","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"If DeepSeek has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-GOOG","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-GOOG","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"If Google has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T03:39:20.355427Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T03:39:20.355427Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-HUA","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-HUA","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Huawei","description":"If Huawei has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-IFM","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-IFM","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Institute of Foundation Models","description":"If Institute of Foundation Models has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-INCL","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-INCL","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"InclusionAI","description":"If InclusionAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-INCP","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-INCP","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Inception","description":"If Inception has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-LGAR","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-LGAR","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"LG AI Research","description":"If LG AI Research has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-LONG","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-LONG","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"LongCat","description":"If LongCat has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-META","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-META","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"If Meta has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T20:43:09.482752Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T20:43:09.482752Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MINI","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MINI","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"If MiniMax has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MOON","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MOON","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"If Moonshot has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MSFT","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MSFT","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"If Microsoft has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MSTR","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-MSTR","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"If Mistral has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-NVDA","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-NVDA","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"NVIDIA","description":"If NVIDIA has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-OAI","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-OAI","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"If OpenAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-PRIM","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-PRIM","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Prime Intellect","description":"If Prime Intellect has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-REFL","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-REFL","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Reflection AI","description":"If Reflection AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-SSI","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-SSI","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Safe Superintelligence","description":"If Safe Superintelligence has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-STEP","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-STEP","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"If StepFun has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-TENC","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-TENC","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"If Tencent has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-TM","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-TM","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Thinking Machines","description":"If Thinking Machines has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-UPST","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-UPST","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Upstage","description":"If Upstage has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T09:12:23.470938Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-XIAO","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-XIAO","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"If Xiaomi has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ZAI","event_id":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLM-29DEC31-ZAI","question":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"Z AI","description":"If Z AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model's organization is not listed, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-12-31T14:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-19T04:05:10.684144Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.295820Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllm/best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllm-29dec31","event_title":"Best LLM at the end of the decade?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}]}