{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31","as_of":"2026-10-19T08:39:35.586837Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?\" — \"United States\" leads at 66% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllmcountry/which-country-will-have-the-best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllmcountry-29dec31"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31","ticker":"KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31","title":"Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1915.6399999999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.327676773071289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1025.29,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"United States","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.025734Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:28.025734Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:14:31.033653Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbestllmcountry/which-country-will-have-the-best-llm-at-the-end-of-the-decade/kxbestllmcountry-29dec31","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31-US","event_id":"KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31","slug":"KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY-29DEC31-US","question":"Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?","group_item_title":"United States","description":"If an AI lab based in the United States has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. A model counts for the country where its credited organization is headquartered or, for a division, subsidiary or brand, where its ultimate parent is headquartered (e.g., Google DeepMind counts for the United States). 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The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. A model counts for the country where its credited organization is headquartered or, for a division, subsidiary or brand, where its ultimate parent is headquartered (e.g., Google DeepMind counts for the United States). 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The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. A model counts for the country where its credited organization is headquartered or, for a division, subsidiary or brand, where its ultimate parent is headquartered (e.g., Google DeepMind counts for the United States). 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The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. A model counts for the country where its credited organization is headquartered or, for a division, subsidiary or brand, where its ultimate parent is headquartered (e.g., Google DeepMind counts for the United States). 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The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. A model counts for the country where its credited organization is headquartered or, for a division, subsidiary or brand, where its ultimate parent is headquartered (e.g., Google DeepMind counts for the United States). 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