{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","as_of":"2026-10-17T09:12:42.475514Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026\" — 11 markets; highest \"Above 100\" at 0% as of 2026-10-15 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","ticker":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 100","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-15T23:24:59.761343Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T23:24:59.761343Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:24:59.761343Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":11,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T100","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T100","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 100?","group_item_title":"Above 100","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.063,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T07:53:28.424641Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T07:53:28.424641Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T102","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T102","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 102?","group_item_title":"Above 102","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 102, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T104","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T104","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 104?","group_item_title":"Above 104","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 104, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T106","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T106","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 106?","group_item_title":"Above 106","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 106, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.018000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T08:22:35.008231Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T08:22:35.008231Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T108","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T108","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 108?","group_item_title":"Above 108","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 108, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.0009999999999999974,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T05:27:14.046138Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T05:27:14.046138Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T88","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T88","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 88?","group_item_title":"Above 88","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 88, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T05:27:14.046138Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T05:27:14.046138Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T90","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T90","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 90?","group_item_title":"Above 90","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T05:27:14.046138Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T05:27:14.046138Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T92","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T92","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 92?","group_item_title":"Above 92","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 92, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T94","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T94","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 94?","group_item_title":"Above 94","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 94, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02199999999999991,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T96","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T96","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 96?","group_item_title":"Above 96","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 96, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04300000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T09:06:08.412924Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T98","event_id":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05","slug":"KXBIGBOXARRAY-26NOV05-T98","question":"Will Big box credit card spend array index for October 2026 be above 98?","group_item_title":"Above 98","description":"If the Carbon Arc Big box credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 98, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Big Box Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value.\n\nThe reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Big Box Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e7120baa-c555-4766-b1b7-99012347c8cd&entity=Big+Box. The underlying metric is credit card spend. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are Walmart Inc., Target, Best Buy Co, Costco Wholesale Corporation, each weighted 1/4. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured credit card spend equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. An array level of 103 means the constituents' average year-over-year growth is 3%, and 97 means their average decline is 3%.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07200000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-15T23:18:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-05T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T05:56:25.264025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T05:56:25.264025Z","added_at":"2026-10-15T23:25:00.163956Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigboxarray/big-box-credit-card-spend-array-index-in-october-2026/kxbigboxarray-26nov05","event_title":"Big box credit card spend array index in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}