{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","ticker":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3345.87,"volume_24hr":3325.87,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.41745376586914,"normalized_volume":17.769670486450195,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3187.04,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Magnitude of at least 5.6","top_outcome_probability":0.62,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.62,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.57,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.305914Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.305914Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:04.434388Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","chart_24h":[0.0,200.0,222.0,270.0,3103.68,3105.25,3230.08,3325.87],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.2","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.2","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 5.2","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T01:44:24Z","volume":2825.0,"volume_24hr":2825.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":2825.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.075124740600586,"normalized_volume":19.658212661743164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T02:23:48.548222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T02:23:48.548222Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.6","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.6","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 5.6","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":1.57,"volume_24hr":1.57,"prob_24h_change":0.62,"volume_24h_change":1.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.3396732211112976,"normalized_volume":0.27735549211502075,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.8","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.8","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 5.8","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":35.82,"volume_24hr":35.82,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":35.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.957529067993164,"normalized_volume":4.048002243041992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:23:14.318604Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:23:14.318604Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.0","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.0","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 6.0","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":27.51,"volume_24hr":27.51,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":27.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.279170513153076,"normalized_volume":3.494097948074341,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.2","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.2","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 6.2","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":42.36,"volume_24hr":42.36,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":42.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.417263984680176,"normalized_volume":4.4233927726745605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.4","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.4","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 6.4","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":4.62,"volume_24hr":4.62,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":4.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.1361937522888184,"normalized_volume":0.9277433753013611,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:23:14.318604Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:23:14.318604Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.8","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.8","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 6.8","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":70.0,"volume_24hr":70.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.927385330200195,"normalized_volume":5.656461238861084,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T03:51:49.942322Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T03:51:49.942322Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.6","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-6.6","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 6.6","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":125.87,"volume_24hr":105.87,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":105.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.320274353027344,"normalized_volume":7.3019280433654785,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:38:25.471567Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-7.0","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-7.0","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 7.0","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":213.12,"volume_24hr":213.12,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":213.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.979741096496582,"normalized_volume":8.965356826782227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T03:51:49.942322Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T03:51:49.942322Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.4","event_id":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","slug":"KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26-5.4","question":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Magnitude of at least 5.4","description":"If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:23:14.318604Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:23:14.318604Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:12:05.036137Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbiggestquake/what-will-the-biggest-earthquake-be-on-oct-1-2026/kxbiggestquake-01oct26","event_title":"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBIGGESTQUAKE-01OCT26","as_of":"2026-10-01T04:47:09.419733Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 1, 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}