{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15","ticker":"KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15","slug":"KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15","title":"New business applications monthly record in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-22T16:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3786.19,"volume_24hr":3786.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.024873733520508,"normalized_volume":15.691070556640625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2206.47,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 546,719","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.65,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3786.19,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T04:38:35.358349Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T04:38:35.358349Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:01.361036Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbizapps/new-business-applications-monthly-record-in-2026/kxbizapps-27jan15","chart_24h":[0.0,32.54,1133.54,1218.33,3455.74,3786.19],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15-T546719","event_id":"KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15","slug":"KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15-T546719","question":"Will US business applications be above 546,719 in any 2026 month?","group_item_title":"Above 546,719","description":"If the US business applications are above 546,719 in any month during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, “U.S. business applications” refers to Business Applications: Total for All NAICS in the United States, FRED series BABATOTALSAUS. This series is reported monthly, seasonally adjusted, and sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics.\n\nThis market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for each relevant month. Revisions released after the first publication of a monthly value will not be considered.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-22T16:30:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-15T14:59:00Z","volume":3786.19,"volume_24hr":3786.19,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":3786.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.459697723388672,"normalized_volume":19.040035247802734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T04:39:54.558548Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T04:38:35.454891Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:01.512509Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbizapps/new-business-applications-monthly-record-in-2026/kxbizapps-27jan15","event_title":"New business applications monthly record in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.09,0.32,0.32,0.8,0.65]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBIZAPPS-27JAN15","as_of":"2026-07-08T05:48:13.484273Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"New business applications monthly record in 2026?\" — top market at 65% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}