{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","ticker":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1833.32,"volume_24hr":1833.32,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.071308135986328,"normalized_volume":15.277006149291992,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":500.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Florida","top_outcome_probability":0.27,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.27,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":500.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-23T23:54:24.362505Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T23:54:24.362505Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.424543Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","chart_24h":[0.0,500.0,500.0,1833.32],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-FL","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-FL","question":"Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"If Florida is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.5,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.245750427246094,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-DE","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-DE","question":"Will Delaware be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Delaware","description":"If Delaware is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":1333.32,"volume_24hr":1333.32,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":1333.32,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.76891326904297,"normalized_volume":16.120668411254883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T00:31:32.173474Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T00:31:32.173474Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-AK","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-AK","question":"Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"If Alaska is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-CO","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-CO","question":"Will Colorado be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Colorado","description":"If Colorado is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-GA","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-GA","question":"Will Georgia be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"If Georgia is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-IA","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-IA","question":"Will Iowa be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"If Iowa is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-IL","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-IL","question":"Will Illinois be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Illinois","description":"If Illinois is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-MA","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-MA","question":"Will Massachusetts be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Massachusetts","description":"If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-ME","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-ME","question":"Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Maine","description":"If Maine is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-MI","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-MI","question":"Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":"If Michigan is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-MN","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-MN","question":"Will Minnesota be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"If Minnesota is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NC","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NC","question":"Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"If North Carolina is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NH","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NH","question":"Will New Hampshire be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"If New Hampshire is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NJ","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NJ","question":"Will New Jersey be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"New Jersey","description":"If New Jersey is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NM","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-NM","question":"Will New Mexico be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"New Mexico","description":"If New Mexico is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-OH","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-OH","question":"Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"If Ohio is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-OR","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-OR","question":"Will Oregon be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Oregon","description":"If Oregon is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T23:11:40.960653Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T23:11:40.960653Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-RI","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-RI","question":"Will Rhode Island be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Rhode Island","description":"If Rhode Island is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:02:36.937538Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-TX","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-TX","question":"Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:47:17.404373Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-VA","event_id":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","slug":"KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03-VA","question":"Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?","group_item_title":"Virginia","description":"If Virginia is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.\n\nAn unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T01:48:07.790203Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:03:33.571847Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbluestrsen/bluest-state-to-elect-a-republican-senator-in-2026/kxbluestrsen-27jan03","event_title":"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBLUESTRSEN-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-09-24T03:26:50.001340Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?\" — top market at 2% probability across 20 outcomes","source_url":null}}