{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","as_of":"2026-10-09T14:26:30.409027Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?\" — 2 markets; highest \"Before Mar 1, 2027\" at 76% as of 2026-10-09 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbolsonaropardon/will-jair-bolsonaro-be-pardoned/kxbolsonaropardon-27"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","ticker":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","slug":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","title":"Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2679.04,"volume_24hr":2679.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.9318790435791,"normalized_volume":16.774234771728516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1520.12,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Mar 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.76,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2679.04,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T11:32:16.177276Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T11:32:16.177276Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:15:40.927579Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbolsonaropardon/will-jair-bolsonaro-be-pardoned/kxbolsonaropardon-27","chart_24h":[0.0,1988.96,2458.04,2679.04],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27-MAR01","event_id":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","slug":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27-MAR01","question":"Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Mar 1, 2027","description":"If Jair Bolsonaro receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA pardon, commutation or amnesty granted by a competent Brazilian authority counts, including a decree or law that covers him without naming him, even if a court later suspends or annuls it. A court ruling that overturns or reduces his conviction or sentence, a law that only reduces penalties or changes sentence-progression rules for a class of convicts, and a change of custody such as house arrest do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.15000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-15T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-01T05:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":2679.04,"volume_24hr":2679.04,"prob_24h_change":0.76,"volume_24h_change":2679.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.72300910949707,"normalized_volume":19.39671516418457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T14:25:42.869149Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T14:25:42.869149Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:15:41.250113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbolsonaropardon/will-jair-bolsonaro-be-pardoned/kxbolsonaropardon-27","event_title":"Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.76]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27-JAN10","event_id":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27","slug":"KXBOLSONAROPARDON-27-JAN10","question":"Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Jan 10, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 10, 2027","description":"If Jair Bolsonaro receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority before Jan 10, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA pardon, commutation or amnesty granted by a competent Brazilian authority counts, including a decree or law that covers him without naming him, even if a court later suspends or annuls it. A court ruling that overturns or reduces his conviction or sentence, a law that only reduces penalties or changes sentence-progression rules for a class of convicts, and a change of custody such as house arrest do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-24T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-10T05:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:26.677645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T06:37:26.677645Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T00:15:41.250113Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbolsonaropardon/will-jair-bolsonaro-be-pardoned/kxbolsonaropardon-27","event_title":"Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}