{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","ticker":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","title":"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8970.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.811216354370117,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2848.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Liberal Party","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:53.213389Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:53.213389Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrazilsenate/who-will-win-the-2026-brazilian-senate-election/kxbrazilsenate-26oct04","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-PL","event_id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-PL","question":"Will Liberal Party win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Liberal Party","description":"If Liberal Party wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.\n\n\nPartial elections: Only seats/positions actually contested in the specified election count\n\n\nIf a formal pre-election coalition wins the most seats, the contract for that coalition resolves to Yes, while contracts for its individual member parties (if also listed) resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":8912.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.35603141784668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:04:45.364103Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T05:36:36.476163Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrazilsenate/who-will-win-the-2026-brazilian-senate-election/kxbrazilsenate-26oct04","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-PT","event_id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-PT","question":"Will Workers' Party win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Workers' Party","description":"If Workers' Party wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.\n\n\nPartial elections: Only seats/positions actually contested in the specified election count\n\n\nIf a formal pre-election coalition wins the most seats, the contract for that coalition resolves to Yes, while contracts for its individual member parties (if also listed) resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.074,0.926],"probability":0.074,"spread":0.059000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":28.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.475465774536133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T18:51:20.785674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrazilsenate/who-will-win-the-2026-brazilian-senate-election/kxbrazilsenate-26oct04","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.074,0.074]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-MDB","event_id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-MDB","question":"Will Brazilian Democratic Movement win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Brazilian Democratic Movement","description":"If Brazilian Democratic Movement wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.\n\n\nPartial elections: Only seats/positions actually contested in the specified election count\n\n\nIf a formal pre-election coalition wins the most seats, the contract for that coalition resolves to Yes, while contracts for its individual member parties (if also listed) resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.45999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.356250047683716,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:51:28.831401Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:51:28.831401Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrazilsenate/who-will-win-the-2026-brazilian-senate-election/kxbrazilsenate-26oct04","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-UNIAO","event_id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-UNIAO","question":"Will Brazil Union win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Brazil Union","description":"If Brazil Union wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.\n\n\nPartial elections: Only seats/positions actually contested in the specified election count\n\n\nIf a formal pre-election coalition wins the most seats, the contract for that coalition resolves to Yes, while contracts for its individual member parties (if also listed) resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.22999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":15.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.356250047683716,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:23:45.153424Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T14:23:45.153424Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrazilsenate/who-will-win-the-2026-brazilian-senate-election/kxbrazilsenate-26oct04","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-PSD","event_id":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04-PSD","question":"Will Social Democratic Party win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","group_item_title":"Social Democratic Party","description":"If Social Democratic Party wins 2026 Brazilian Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.\n\n\nPartial elections: Only seats/positions actually contested in the specified election count\n\n\nIf a formal pre-election coalition wins the most seats, the contract for that coalition resolves to Yes, while contracts for its individual member parties (if also listed) resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.5599999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:57:46.652500Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:57:46.652500Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrazilsenate/who-will-win-the-2026-brazilian-senate-election/kxbrazilsenate-26oct04","event_title":"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRAZILSENATE-26OCT04","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:09:30.573935Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?\" — top market at 80% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}