{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","as_of":"2026-11-13T16:51:40.268508Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?\" — \"José Múcio Monteiro\" leads at 11% across 8 outcomes as of 2026-11-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","ticker":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":99.0,"volume_24hr":99.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.183473587036133,"normalized_volume":5.583897113800049,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":99.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"José Múcio Monteiro","top_outcome_probability":0.11,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.070017Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.070017Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.228464Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-JMUC","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-JMUC","question":"Will José Múcio Monteiro be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"José Múcio Monteiro","description":"If José Múcio Monteiro formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":99.0,"volume_24hr":99.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.091190814971924,"normalized_volume":5.950014591217041,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-CFRE","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-CFRE","question":"Will Cinara Wagner Fredo be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Cinara Wagner Fredo","description":"If Cinara Wagner Fredo formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T10:10:58.936793Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T10:10:58.936793Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-CSAN","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-CSAN","question":"Will Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruz be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruz","description":"If Carlos Alberto dos Santos Cruz formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-06T22:45:02Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","added_at":"2026-11-06T22:49:59.010384Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-GALC","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-GALC","question":"Will Geraldo Alckmin be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Geraldo Alckmin","description":"If Geraldo Alckmin formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-06T22:43:42Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","added_at":"2026-11-06T22:49:59.010384Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-MROC","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-MROC","question":"Will Maria Elizabeth Rocha be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Maria Elizabeth Rocha","description":"If Maria Elizabeth Rocha formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T10:10:58.936793Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T10:10:58.936793Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-MROS","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-MROS","question":"Will Márcio Elias Rosa be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Márcio Elias Rosa","description":"If Márcio Elias Rosa formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-06T22:44:43Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T10:10:58.936793Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T10:10:58.936793Z","added_at":"2026-11-06T22:49:59.010384Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-RCAL","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-RCAL","question":"Will Renan Calheiros be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Renan Calheiros","description":"If Renan Calheiros formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-STEB","event_id":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25","slug":"KXBRDEFMIN-26OCT25-STEB","question":"Will Simone Tebet be Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election?","group_item_title":"Simone Tebet","description":"If Simone Tebet formally takes office as Minister of Defense as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly the first person to formally take office as Minister of Defense in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.\n\nIf no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-02T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-12T22:14:00.254852Z","added_at":"2026-11-02T22:37:47.327330Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrdefmin/who-will-be-brazilian-defense-minister-after-the-election/kxbrdefmin-26oct25","event_title":"Who will be Brazilian defense minister after the election?","chart_24h":null}]}