{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","ticker":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":869.16,"volume_24hr":8.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7844842672348022,"normalized_volume":12.061516761779785,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":723.86,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lula da Silva, 0-5%","top_outcome_probability":0.45,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:25:29.708804Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:25:29.708804Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","chart_24h":[5.0,5.0,8.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P2","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lula da Silva will be summed.\n\nIf Lula da Silva wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lula da Silva loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lula da Silva is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":663.16,"volume_24hr":3.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.7586613893508911,"normalized_volume":12.9443359375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:26:49.549368Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:25:29.843827Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P7","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lula da Silva will be summed.\n\nIf Lula da Silva wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lula da Silva loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lula da Silva is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2673497200012207,"normalized_volume":0.984033465385437,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:33:49.278586Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:19:51.966625Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Flávio Bolsonaro will be summed.\n\nIf Flávio Bolsonaro wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Flávio Bolsonaro loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Flávio Bolsonaro is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.620721817016602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:11:16.425944Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:06:19.772678Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P7","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Flávio Bolsonaro will be summed.\n\nIf Flávio Bolsonaro wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Flávio Bolsonaro loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Flávio Bolsonaro is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14726562798023224,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T08:44:12.577116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P12","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Flávio Bolsonaro will be summed.\n\nIf Flávio Bolsonaro wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Flávio Bolsonaro loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Flávio Bolsonaro is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T08:44:12.577116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P57","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the electoral votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Flávio Bolsonaro does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Flávio Bolsonaro will be summed.\n\nIf Flávio Bolsonaro wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Flávio Bolsonaro loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Flávio Bolsonaro is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T08:44:12.577116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FHAD-P50","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FHAD-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Fernando Haddad in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Fernando Haddad wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Fernando Haddad in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Fernando Haddad minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Fernando Haddad if Fernando Haddad wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Fernando Haddad loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Fernando Haddad minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Fernando Haddad if Fernando Haddad wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Fernando Haddad loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Fernando Haddad minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Fernando Haddad wins, or the electoral votes received by Fernando Haddad minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Fernando Haddad does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Fernando Haddad runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Fernando Haddad will be summed.\n\nIf Fernando Haddad wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Fernando Haddad loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Fernando Haddad ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Fernando Haddad is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T08:44:12.577116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P12","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lula da Silva will be summed.\n\nIf Lula da Silva wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lula da Silva loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lula da Silva is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:11:16.425944Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:06:19.772678Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P57","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lula da Silva will be summed.\n\nIf Lula da Silva wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lula da Silva loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lula da Silva is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:11:16.425944Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:06:19.772678Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RSAN-P50","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RSAN-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Renan Santos wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Renan Santos minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Renan Santos if Renan Santos wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Renan Santos loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Renan Santos minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Renan Santos if Renan Santos wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Renan Santos loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Renan Santos minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Renan Santos wins, or the electoral votes received by Renan Santos minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Renan Santos does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Renan Santos runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Renan Santos will be summed.\n\nIf Renan Santos wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Renan Santos loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Renan Santos ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Renan Santos is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T08:44:12.577116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RZEM-P50","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RZEM-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Romeu Zema in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Romeu Zema wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Romeu Zema in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Romeu Zema minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Romeu Zema if Romeu Zema wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Romeu Zema loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Romeu Zema minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Romeu Zema if Romeu Zema wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Romeu Zema loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Romeu Zema minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Romeu Zema wins, or the electoral votes received by Romeu Zema minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Romeu Zema does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Romeu Zema runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Romeu Zema will be summed.\n\nIf Romeu Zema wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Romeu Zema loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Romeu Zema ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Romeu Zema is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T08:44:12.577116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:49:36.688758Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory\" — top market at 21% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}