{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","ticker":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8240.97,"volume_24hr":17.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.851134777069092,"normalized_volume":18.168109893798828,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4963.25,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lula da Silva, 5-10%","top_outcome_probability":0.34,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:34:06.645901Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T13:34:06.645901Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","chart_24h":[5.0,0.0,10.0,17.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P2","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses. If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":2021.97,"volume_24hr":17.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":17.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1926023960113525,"normalized_volume":15.080635070800781,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:43.907256Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:43.907256Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P7","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses. If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1633.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.246438026428223,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T21:23:52.736742Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T21:23:52.736742Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P12","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses. If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":3046.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.747161865234375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:46:38.216296Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T12:07:51.400182Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses. If Flávio Bolsonaro wins, the margin will be positive; if Flávio Bolsonaro loses, the margin will be negative; if Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":369.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.100704193115234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:20:35.141089Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:12:44.786976Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P7","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses. If Flávio Bolsonaro wins, the margin will be positive; if Flávio Bolsonaro loses, the margin will be negative; if Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:24:09.314491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P57","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Lula da Silva, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses. If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1170.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.992271423339844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T21:23:52.736742Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T21:23:52.736742Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P12","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses. If Flávio Bolsonaro wins, the margin will be positive; if Flávio Bolsonaro loses, the margin will be negative; if Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:24:09.314491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P57","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses. If Flávio Bolsonaro wins, the margin will be positive; if Flávio Bolsonaro loses, the margin will be negative; if Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:24:09.314491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FHAD-P50","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FHAD-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Fernando Haddad in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Fernando Haddad wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Fernando Haddad in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Fernando Haddad minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Fernando Haddad if Fernando Haddad wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Fernando Haddad loses. If Fernando Haddad wins, the margin will be positive; if Fernando Haddad loses, the margin will be negative; if Fernando Haddad ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Fernando Haddad runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:24:09.314491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RSAN-P50","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RSAN-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Renan Santos wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Renan Santos minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Renan Santos if Renan Santos wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Renan Santos loses. If Renan Santos wins, the margin will be positive; if Renan Santos loses, the margin will be negative; if Renan Santos ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Renan Santos runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:24:09.314491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RZEM-P50","event_id":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","slug":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-RZEM-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Romeu Zema in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Romeu Zema wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Romeu Zema in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Romeu Zema minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Romeu Zema if Romeu Zema wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Romeu Zema loses. If Romeu Zema wins, the margin will be positive; if Romeu Zema loses, the margin will be negative; if Romeu Zema ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Romeu Zema runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-23T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-13T00:24:09.314491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpres1mov/brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxbrpres1mov-brpres26","event_title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26","as_of":"2026-07-25T21:39:24.086669Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory\" — top market at 19% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}