{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","ticker":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1163.05,"volume_24hr":1163.05,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.713055610656738,"normalized_volume":11.51867961883545,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":976.65,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.93,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":199.4,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T03:58:14.334937Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T03:58:14.334937Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.141579Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","chart_24h":[0.0,755.0500000000001,910.0500000000001,950.0500000000001,1163.05],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-LSIL","event_id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-LSIL","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","description":"If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nA candidate is \"announced to qualify\" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","volume":199.4,"volume_24hr":199.4,"prob_24h_change":0.93,"volume_24h_change":199.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.886781692504883,"normalized_volume":7.879200458526611,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T07:15:50.318877Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T07:15:50.318877Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.249981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","event_title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-FBOL","event_id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-FBOL","question":"Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Flavio Bolsonaro","description":"If Flavio Bolsonaro is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nA candidate is \"announced to qualify\" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Flavio Bolsonaro has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","volume":29.7,"volume_24hr":29.7,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":29.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.7091572284698486,"normalized_volume":3.2886135578155518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T04:38:21.425327Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T04:38:21.425327Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.249981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","event_title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-RCAI","event_id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-RCAI","question":"Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Ronaldo Caiado","description":"If Ronaldo Caiado is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nA candidate is \"announced to qualify\" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Ronaldo Caiado has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","volume":45.7,"volume_24hr":45.7,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":45.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.673583984375,"normalized_volume":4.143693923950195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:00:33.222864Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:00:33.222864Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.249981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","event_title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-RSAN","event_id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-RSAN","question":"Will Renan Santos qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Renan Santos","description":"If Renan Santos is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nA candidate is \"announced to qualify\" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Renan Santos has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","volume":44.7,"volume_24hr":44.7,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":44.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.621094226837158,"normalized_volume":4.0971550941467285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T03:06:08.465037Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T03:06:08.465037Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.249981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","event_title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-RZEM","event_id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-RZEM","question":"Will Romeu Zema qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Romeu Zema","description":"If Romeu Zema is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nA candidate is \"announced to qualify\" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Romeu Zema has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","volume":12.83,"volume_24hr":12.83,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":12.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.182772159576416,"normalized_volume":1.9352898597717285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:52:55.364300Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:52:55.364300Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.249981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","event_title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-MBOL","event_id":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","slug":"KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-MBOL","question":"Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Michelle Bolsonaro","description":"If Michelle Bolsonaro is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.\n\nA candidate is \"announced to qualify\" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Michelle Bolsonaro has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution.\n\nThis is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-10-03T14:00:00Z","volume":830.72,"volume_24hr":830.72,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":830.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.299846649169922,"normalized_volume":12.678532600402832,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T03:59:40.332476Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T03:58:14.450561Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T23:05:17.249981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrpresadvance/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/kxbrpresadvance-26oct04","event_title":"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04","as_of":"2026-07-08T07:50:19.332228Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?\" — top market at 7% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}