{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1","ticker":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1","title":"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1377.28,"volume_24hr":1377.28,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.232505798339844,"normalized_volume":14.084050178527832,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1319.28,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.65,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":705.66,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:52:56.757581Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:52:56.757581Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.137385Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffabroad/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-the-vote-abroad/kxbrrunoffabroad-26oct25-1","chart_24h":[0.0,966.0,994.62,1070.62,1090.62,1300.62],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1-LSIL","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1-LSIL","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the vote abroad in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","description":"If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the Exterior zone (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.\n\nThe Exterior zone is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast by Brazilian voters outside Brazil; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":705.66,"volume_24hr":705.66,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":705.66,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.261234283447266,"normalized_volume":13.398612976074219,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:52:57.058107Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:52:57.058107Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffabroad/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-the-vote-abroad/kxbrrunoffabroad-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1-FBOL","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1-FBOL","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote abroad in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the Exterior zone (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.\n\nThe Exterior zone is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast by Brazilian voters outside Brazil; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":671.62,"volume_24hr":671.62,"prob_24h_change":0.35,"volume_24h_change":671.62,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.0324125289917,"normalized_volume":13.197718620300293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T01:05:14.083298Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T01:05:14.083298Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffabroad/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-the-vote-abroad/kxbrrunoffabroad-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRRUNOFFABROAD-26OCT25-1","as_of":"2026-10-06T02:58:14.550131Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?\" — top market at 65% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}