{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","as_of":"2026-10-23T08:11:08.811951Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?\" — \"Flávio Bolsonaro\" leads at 98% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffsp/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-so-paulo/kxbrrunoffsp-26oct25-1"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","ticker":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","title":"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18608.17,"volume_24hr":18608.17,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.303573608398438,"normalized_volume":25.897218704223633,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":15006.95,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Flávio Bolsonaro","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.98,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9682.1,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T06:47:36.676312Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T06:47:36.676312Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T22:09:17.518200Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffsp/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-so-paulo/kxbrrunoffsp-26oct25-1","chart_24h":[0.0,9682.09,9682.09,9682.16,18608.17],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1-FBOL","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1-FBOL","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win São Paulo in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Flávio Bolsonaro","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.\n\nThe state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":9682.1,"volume_24hr":9682.1,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":9682.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.12762451171875,"normalized_volume":26.223369598388672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T05:09:51.687303Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T05:09:51.687303Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T22:09:17.716371Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffsp/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-so-paulo/kxbrrunoffsp-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.95,0.96,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1-LSIL","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSP-26OCT25-1-LSIL","question":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win São Paulo in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","description":"If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.\n\nThe state of São Paulo is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast in São Paulo state; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result. Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-22T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":8926.07,"volume_24hr":8926.07,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":8926.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.631559371948242,"normalized_volume":25.760889053344727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T06:47:36.765266Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T06:47:36.765266Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T22:09:17.716371Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffsp/brazil-presidential-runoff-who-will-win-so-paulo/kxbrrunoffsp-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.02,0.02]}]}