{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","ticker":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2013.0,"volume_24hr":2013.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.08833885192871,"normalized_volume":15.59582233428955,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1707.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tocantins","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.92,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":332.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T03:24:56.035416Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T03:24:56.035416Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.137385Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","chart_24h":[0.0,782.0,1182.0,1359.0,1960.0,2013.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-TO","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-TO","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Tocantins in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Tocantins","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nEach market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":332.0,"volume_24hr":332.0,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":332.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.670791625976562,"normalized_volume":10.501562118530273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T01:54:58.186030Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T01:54:58.186030Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-MGER","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-MGER","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Minas Gerais in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Minas Gerais","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Minas Gerais in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nEach market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":300.0,"volume_24hr":300.0,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":300.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.268298149108887,"normalized_volume":10.139391899108887,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T03:53:08.111468Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T03:53:08.111468Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-AP","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-AP","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Amapá in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Amapá","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amapá in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nEach market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":243.0,"volume_24hr":243.0,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":243.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.454514503479004,"normalized_volume":9.407135963439941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T03:39:17.537490Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T03:39:17.537490Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-AM","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-AM","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Amazonas in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Amazonas","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amazonas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nEach market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":534.0,"volume_24hr":534.0,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":534.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.65395736694336,"normalized_volume":12.286046028137207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T03:53:08.111468Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T03:53:08.111468Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-PA","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-PA","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Pará in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Pará","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Pará in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nEach market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":604.0,"volume_24hr":604.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":604.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.193680763244629,"normalized_volume":12.771697998046875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T01:54:58.186030Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T01:54:58.186030Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T21:05:55.706272Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-RR","event_id":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","slug":"KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1-RR","question":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Roraima in the Brazil presidential runoff?","group_item_title":"Roraima","description":"If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Roraima in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nRank is based on runoff vote totals only\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.\n\nEach market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T03:58:37Z","end_date":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-25T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T03:08:18.911293Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T03:08:18.911293Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T03:08:18.911293Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrrunoffstates/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-states-will-flvio-bolsonaro-win/kxbrrunoffstates-26oct25-1","event_title":"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXBRRUNOFFSTATES-26OCT25-1","as_of":"2026-10-06T04:03:52.863469Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?\" — top market at 10% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}