{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAELECTION-2604","as_of":"2026-10-24T02:45:44.245164Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CA-04 House winner?\" — \"Mike Thompson\" leads at 75% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAELECTION-2604","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcaelection/ca-04-house-winner/kxcaelection-2604"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAELECTION-2604","ticker":"KXCAELECTION-2604","slug":"KXCAELECTION-2604","title":"CA-04 House winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T18:46:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49383.770000000004,"volume_24hr":2288.8199999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.048255920410156,"normalized_volume":31.285741806030273,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":23237.9,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mike Thompson","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":412.24,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:16:25.507030Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:16:25.507030Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T18:51:21.495134Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcaelection/ca-04-house-winner/kxcaelection-2604","chart_24h":[457.16999999999996,457.16999999999996,457.44,425.49,473.49,623.5,583.23,208.28,1768.55,1758.55,2154.0299999999997,2174.74,2282.8199999999997,2288.8199999999997],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAELECTION-2604-MTHO","event_id":"KXCAELECTION-2604","slug":"KXCAELECTION-2604-MTHO","question":"Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election?","group_item_title":"Mike Thompson","description":"If Mike Thompson wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T18:46:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":27747.18,"volume_24hr":465.46,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":412.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.046516418457031,"normalized_volume":32.5843620300293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:31:43.273629Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:31:43.273629Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T18:51:21.617177Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcaelection/ca-04-house-winner/kxcaelection-2604","event_title":"CA-04 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAELECTION-2604-EJON","event_id":"KXCAELECTION-2604","slug":"KXCAELECTION-2604-EJON","question":"Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election?","group_item_title":"Eric Jones","description":"If Eric Jones wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T18:46:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":21636.59,"volume_24hr":1823.36,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1419.4099999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.973114013671875,"normalized_volume":31.019216537475586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T00:43:14.534309Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T00:43:14.534309Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T18:51:21.617177Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcaelection/ca-04-house-winner/kxcaelection-2604","event_title":"CA-04 House winner?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.27,0.25]}]}