{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","ticker":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24082.46,"volume_24hr":200.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.430253028869629,"normalized_volume":26.802698135375977,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":17942.93,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-7.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:14.161095Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:14.161095Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.657101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","chart_24h":[30.0,30.0,230.0,200.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-NRAM","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-NRAM","question":"Will Tom Steyer outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer","description":"If Tom Steyer's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":3243.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.39728832244873,"normalized_volume":20.0338077545166,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:21:17.650786Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:39:01.320511Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-SPRA","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-SPRA","question":"Will Steve Hilton outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton","description":"If Steve Hilton's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.030000000000000027],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":3423.96,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.39728832244873,"normalized_volume":20.303739547729492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:39:01.320511Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:39:01.320511Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-KBAS","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-KBAS","question":"Will Xavier Becerra outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra","description":"If Xavier Becerra's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":2703.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-7.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.142417907714844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:39:28.782329Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:14.368873Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-RHUA","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-RHUA","question":"Will Katie Porter outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Katie Porter","description":"If Katie Porter's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":1130.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.151898384094238,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:46:41.403595Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:48:19.044636Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-BWAR","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-BWAR","question":"Will Butch Ware outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Butch Ware","description":"If Butch Ware's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":3818.47,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.851329803466797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T09:30:21.724079Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-TTHU","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-TTHU","question":"Will Tony Thurmond outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Tony Thurmond","description":"If Tony Thurmond's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":617.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.658956527709961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:13:55.777951Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T04:12:49.970942Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-MMAH","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-MMAH","question":"Will Matt Mahan outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Matt Mahan","description":"If Matt Mahan's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":2065.84,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.861967086791992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T09:30:21.724079Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-AMIL","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-AMIL","question":"Will Chad Bianco outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Chad Bianco","description":"If Chad Bianco's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":4419.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.597314834594727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T09:30:21.724079Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-AVIL","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-AVIL","question":"Will Antonio Villaraigosa outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Antonio Villaraigosa","description":"If Antonio Villaraigosa's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":41.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.282055377960205,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:30:10.823493Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:14.368873Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-BYEE","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-BYEE","question":"Will Betty Yee outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Betty Yee","description":"If Betty Yee's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":1315.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-3.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.81189250946045,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:41.965462Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:14.368873Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-LZAC","event_id":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","slug":"KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02-LZAC","question":"Will Leo Zacky outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026 in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","group_item_title":"Leo Zacky","description":"If Leo Zacky's realized result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary outperforms their Race to the WH 2026 California Governor polling average at 10:00 AM ET on June 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. \"Outperform\" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; \"underperform\" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. If the poll is not released or the election doesn't occur before the deadline, the market resolves to No.\n\nThe California Governor primary polling averages are: Xavier Becerra 22.8%, Steve Hilton 22.3%, Tom Steyer 20.2%, Chad Bianco 10.9%, Katie Porter 6.9%, Matt Mahan 5.2%, Antonio Villaraigosa 2.8%, Butch Ware 2%, Tony Thurmond 1.1%, Betty Yee 1%","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-10T13:59:00Z","volume":1304.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-15.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.777584075927734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:41.965462Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:01:14.368873Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T00:05:38.753942Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcagovoutperform/california-governor-primary-who-will-outperform-the-polls/kxcagovoutperform-26jun02","event_title":"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAGOVOUTPERFORM-26JUN02","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:38:56.384583Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?\" — top market at 97% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}