{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23","ticker":"KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23","slug":"KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23","title":"Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 419.85","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T03:06:51.352830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T03:06:51.352830Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T03:06:51.352830Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcahpiyoy/will-california-home-prices-increase-yoy-in-q4-2026/kxcahpiyoy-27feb23","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23-T419.85","event_id":"KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23","slug":"KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23-T419.85","question":"Will California’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI for Q4 2026 be above 419.85?","group_item_title":"Above 419.85","description":"If California’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI for Q4 2026 is above \n\n419.85, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Underlying is the index_sa value for California (CA), year 2026, quarter 4, in the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s quarterly state Purchase-Only House Price Index dataset. This is a Q4-over-Q4 comparison, not an annual average. The 419.85 baseline is fixed to the Q4 2025 value at Issuance; later revisions to Q4 2025 do not change the strike.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-23T13:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T22:52:55.336826Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T22:52:55.336826Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T03:06:51.529094Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcahpiyoy/will-california-home-prices-increase-yoy-in-q4-2026/kxcahpiyoy-27feb23","event_title":"Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAHPIYOY-27FEB23","as_of":"2026-08-20T05:21:44.510399Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?\" — top market at 0% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}