{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","ticker":"KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","slug":"KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","title":"Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":796.61,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4972221851348877,"normalized_volume":9.97584342956543,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":374.11,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-142.57,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:58:04.043569Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:58:04.043569Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:39:18.148679Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcantariffseffect/will-trumps-50-tariffs-on-canada-take-effect-august-19/kxcantariffseffect-26","chart_24h":[149.67,42.99,35.52,15.73,8.6,7.1],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","event_id":"KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","slug":"KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026 before Aug 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If the additional 50% tariffs established by President Donald Trump’s three July 20, 2026 Section 338 proclamations begin applying to covered Canadian goods on August 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-20T03:59:00Z","volume":796.61,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-142.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6724060773849487,"normalized_volume":11.618467330932617,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:58:04.592007Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:58:04.592007Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:39:18.356374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcantariffseffect/will-trumps-50-tariffs-on-canada-take-effect-august-19/kxcantariffseffect-26","event_title":"Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCANTARIFFSEFFECT-26","as_of":"2026-07-25T23:59:00.503069Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}