{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","ticker":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1811.76,"volume_24hr":1397.43,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.387113571166992,"normalized_volume":15.470467567443848,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1516.74,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Oct 1, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.17,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":687.83,"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:47:21.003146Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T17:47:21.003146Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T17:04:39.311236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","chart_24h":[570.33,675.33,612.6,921.6,937.62,836.02,927.43,1096.02,1259.43,1397.43],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26OCT01","event_id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26OCT01","question":"Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement is concluded if either:\n\nit is signed or formally executed by authorized officials of both governments, or\nboth governments announce that negotiations have concluded and that the agreed tariff changes are being implemented, or those tariff changes take legal effect in both countries under the agreement.\n\nAn agreement can be concluded even if individual sectors remain subject to further negotiation, and regardless of when the agreed changes take effect.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\n\nAnything announced before Issuance, including the announcements of August 18 and 19, 2026 of a deal reached, agreed in principle, or pending final documentation, and any draft agreement reported before Issuance\nAn agreement announced as reached by only one of the two governments\nA framework, term sheet, memorandum of understanding or joint communique that both governments describe as still subject to negotiation of its core terms\nA temporary tariff pause, suspension or deadline extension not accompanied by a concluded agreement\nContinued or resumed negotiations, however described\nAction taken unilaterally by one government\n\nOnly reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1297.03,"volume_24hr":1195.43,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":687.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.10066795349121,"normalized_volume":15.99736499786377,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:51:10.312680Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T17:47:21.219177Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T17:04:39.683008Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","event_title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26SEP01","event_id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26SEP01","question":"Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement is concluded if either:\n\nit is signed or formally executed by authorized officials of both governments, or\nboth governments announce that negotiations have concluded and that the agreed tariff changes are being implemented, or those tariff changes take legal effect in both countries under the agreement.\n\nAn agreement can be concluded even if individual sectors remain subject to further negotiation, and regardless of when the agreed changes take effect.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\n\nAnything announced before Issuance, including the announcements of August 18 and 19, 2026 of a deal reached, agreed in principle, or pending final documentation, and any draft agreement reported before Issuance\nAn agreement announced as reached by only one of the two governments\nA framework, term sheet, memorandum of understanding or joint communique that both governments describe as still subject to negotiation of its core terms\nA temporary tariff pause, suspension or deadline extension not accompanied by a concluded agreement\nContinued or resumed negotiations, however described\nAction taken unilaterally by one government\n\nOnly reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":202.0,"volume_24hr":202.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":202.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.73556900024414,"normalized_volume":8.788053512573242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:47:21.219177Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T17:47:21.219177Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T17:04:39.683008Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","event_title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.13,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26AUG24","event_id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26AUG24","question":"Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Aug 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 24, 2026","description":"If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Aug 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement is concluded if either:\n\nit is signed or formally executed by authorized officials of both governments, or\nboth governments announce that negotiations have concluded and that the agreed tariff changes are being implemented, or those tariff changes take legal effect in both countries under the agreement.\n\nAn agreement can be concluded even if individual sectors remain subject to further negotiation, and regardless of when the agreed changes take effect.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\n\nAnything announced before Issuance, including the announcements of August 18 and 19, 2026 of a deal reached, agreed in principle, or pending final documentation, and any draft agreement reported before Issuance\nAn agreement announced as reached by only one of the two governments\nA framework, term sheet, memorandum of understanding or joint communique that both governments describe as still subject to negotiation of its core terms\nA temporary tariff pause, suspension or deadline extension not accompanied by a concluded agreement\nContinued or resumed negotiations, however described\nAction taken unilaterally by one government\n\nOnly reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-21T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-24T03:59:00Z","volume":312.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-62.73,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.287110328674316,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T16:36:11.969467Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T15:42:51.338462Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T17:04:39.683008Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","event_title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26DEC01","event_id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26DEC01","question":"Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Dec 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement is concluded if either:\n\nit is signed or formally executed by authorized officials of both governments, or\nboth governments announce that negotiations have concluded and that the agreed tariff changes are being implemented, or those tariff changes take legal effect in both countries under the agreement.\n\nAn agreement can be concluded even if individual sectors remain subject to further negotiation, and regardless of when the agreed changes take effect.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\n\nAnything announced before Issuance, including the announcements of August 18 and 19, 2026 of a deal reached, agreed in principle, or pending final documentation, and any draft agreement reported before Issuance\nAn agreement announced as reached by only one of the two governments\nA framework, term sheet, memorandum of understanding or joint communique that both governments describe as still subject to negotiation of its core terms\nA temporary tariff pause, suspension or deadline extension not accompanied by a concluded agreement\nContinued or resumed negotiations, however described\nAction taken unilaterally by one government\n\nOnly reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:10:33.728674Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T17:10:33.728674Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:18:41.269749Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","event_title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26NOV01","event_id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-26NOV01","question":"Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement is concluded if either:\n\nit is signed or formally executed by authorized officials of both governments, or\nboth governments announce that negotiations have concluded and that the agreed tariff changes are being implemented, or those tariff changes take legal effect in both countries under the agreement.\n\nAn agreement can be concluded even if individual sectors remain subject to further negotiation, and regardless of when the agreed changes take effect.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\n\nAnything announced before Issuance, including the announcements of August 18 and 19, 2026 of a deal reached, agreed in principle, or pending final documentation, and any draft agreement reported before Issuance\nAn agreement announced as reached by only one of the two governments\nA framework, term sheet, memorandum of understanding or joint communique that both governments describe as still subject to negotiation of its core terms\nA temporary tariff pause, suspension or deadline extension not accompanied by a concluded agreement\nContinued or resumed negotiations, however described\nAction taken unilaterally by one government\n\nOnly reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:10:33.728674Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T17:10:33.728674Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:18:41.269749Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","event_title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-27JAN01","event_id":"KXCANUSDEAL-26","slug":"KXCANUSDEAL-26-27JAN01","question":"Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement is concluded if either:\n\nit is signed or formally executed by authorized officials of both governments, or\nboth governments announce that negotiations have concluded and that the agreed tariff changes are being implemented, or those tariff changes take legal effect in both countries under the agreement.\n\nAn agreement can be concluded even if individual sectors remain subject to further negotiation, and regardless of when the agreed changes take effect.\n\nThe following do NOT count:\n\nAnything announced before Issuance, including the announcements of August 18 and 19, 2026 of a deal reached, agreed in principle, or pending final documentation, and any draft agreement reported before Issuance\nAn agreement announced as reached by only one of the two governments\nA framework, term sheet, memorandum of understanding or joint communique that both governments describe as still subject to negotiation of its core terms\nA temporary tariff pause, suspension or deadline extension not accompanied by a concluded agreement\nContinued or resumed negotiations, however described\nAction taken unilaterally by one government\n\nOnly reporting from a Source Agency qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-24T17:10:33.728674Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T17:10:33.728674Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T16:18:41.269749Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanusdeal/when-will-canada-and-the-us-finalize-a-trade-deal/kxcanusdeal-26","event_title":"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCANUSDEAL-26","as_of":"2026-08-24T18:31:25.088525Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?\" — top market at 17% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}