{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","ticker":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","slug":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","title":"Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-06T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26464.53,"volume_24hr":350.53,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.367107391357422,"normalized_volume":28.191709518432617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":15628.19,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Decline greater than 20%","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10.229999999999961,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:43:46.093718Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:43:46.093718Z","added_at":"2026-05-06T23:35:27.609845Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanustrips/canadian-trips-to-the-us-down-20-in-2026/kxcanustrips-27feb23","chart_24h":[340.3,339.27,364.27,259.27,264.27,244.27,105.39,105.39,310.26,255.79,355.79,350.53],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23-T20","event_id":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","slug":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23-T20","question":"Will the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Decline greater than 20%","description":"If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its \"Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026\" release, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-06T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-23T13:29:00Z","volume":26464.53,"volume_24hr":350.53,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":10.229999999999961,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.974017143249512,"normalized_volume":32.28359603881836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:43:46.251025Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:43:46.251025Z","added_at":"2026-05-06T23:35:27.809584Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanustrips/canadian-trips-to-the-us-down-20-in-2026/kxcanustrips-27feb23","event_title":"Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","as_of":"2026-09-09T05:08:02.271547Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?\" — top market at 13% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}