{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","ticker":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","slug":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","title":"Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-06T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2881.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.1812105178833,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1381.14,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Decline greater than 20%","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T21:07:05.681905Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T21:07:05.681905Z","added_at":"2026-05-06T23:35:27.609845Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanustrips/canadian-trips-to-the-us-down-20-in-2026/kxcanustrips-27feb23","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23-T20","event_id":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","slug":"KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23-T20","question":"Will the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Decline greater than 20%","description":"If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its \"Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026\" release, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-06T23:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-23T13:29:00Z","volume":2881.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.51629066467285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T20:45:02.052090Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:31:25.679810Z","added_at":"2026-05-06T23:35:27.809584Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanustrips/canadian-trips-to-the-us-down-20-in-2026/kxcanustrips-27feb23","event_title":"Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23","as_of":"2026-07-25T22:59:30.941577Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}