{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","as_of":"2026-10-13T11:33:41.348988Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?\" — 64% as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcapeverdepres1r/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-cape-verde-presidential-election/kxcapeverdepres1r-26nov15"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","ticker":"KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","slug":"KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","title":"Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2631.55,"volume_24hr":2631.55,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.23967170715332,"normalized_volume":16.678455352783203,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2269.55,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"First-round winner","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.64,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2631.55,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T07:52:46.431538Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T07:52:46.431538Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:35.646111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcapeverdepres1r/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-cape-verde-presidential-election/kxcapeverdepres1r-26nov15","chart_24h":[0.0,2469.55,2631.55],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","event_id":"KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","slug":"KXCAPEVERDEPRES1R-26NOV15","question":"Will anyone win the 2026 Cape Verde Presidential election in the first round?","group_item_title":"First-round winner","description":"If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (more than 50% of valid votes) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Cape Verde Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-15T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-15T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":2631.55,"volume_24hr":2631.55,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":2631.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.505661010742188,"normalized_volume":19.308948516845703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Cape Verde"],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T09:46:55.382502Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T09:46:55.382502Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T20:04:35.803176Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcapeverdepres1r/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-cape-verde-presidential-election/kxcapeverdepres1r-26nov15","event_title":"Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64]}]}