{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG","as_of":"2026-10-24T11:37:51.021631Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?\" — 4% as of 2026-10-07 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcapgaindown/will-federal-capital-gains-taxes-be-cut-in-2026/kxcapgaindown-26aug"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG","ticker":"KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG","slug":"KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG","title":"Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T00:46:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1271.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.689901351928711,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":599.48,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.04,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-07T11:05:40.937492Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T11:05:40.937492Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T01:04:13.492160Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcapgaindown/will-federal-capital-gains-taxes-be-cut-in-2026/kxcapgaindown-26aug","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG-27JAN01","event_id":"KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG","slug":"KXCAPGAINDOWN-26AUG-27JAN01","question":"Will legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated become law before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation qualifies if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, whether through a rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, a change in applicable thresholds, a change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer’s overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, do not qualify. A qualifying change may be temporary and need not take effect before the specified deadline, provided the legislation becomes law within the specified time period.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-12T00:46:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1271.89,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.91019344329834,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:35:56.993455Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:35:56.993455Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T01:04:14.058576Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcapgaindown/will-federal-capital-gains-taxes-be-cut-in-2026/kxcapgaindown-26aug","event_title":"Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]}]}