{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","as_of":"2026-10-24T12:08:34.285314Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?\" — 5 markets; highest \"Before Jul 1, 2029\" at 40% as of 2026-10-17 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","ticker":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","title":"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2029-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":498.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.342364311218262,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":498.6,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jul 1, 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-17T03:52:12.061604Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T03:52:12.061604Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:00:16.847003Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-29JUL01","event_id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-29JUL01","question":"Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2029","description":"If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nA statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2029-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":497.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.011988639831543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:00:17.093998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct","event_title":"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-29JAN01","event_id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-29JAN01","question":"Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2029","description":"If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nA statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:00:17.093998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct","event_title":"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-27JUL01","event_id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-27JUL01","question":"Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nA statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:34:39.795119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:34:39.795119Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:00:17.093998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct","event_title":"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-28JAN01","event_id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-28JAN01","question":"Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nA statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:00:17.093998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct","event_title":"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-28JUL01","event_id":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT","slug":"KXCARNEYOUT-26OCT-28JUL01","question":"Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2028","description":"If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nA statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-07-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:20:14.699223Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T20:00:17.093998Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneyout/mark-carney-announces-departure-as-prime-minister-of-canada/kxcarneyout-26oct","event_title":"Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}