{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","ticker":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","title":"European Central Bank rate decision in July","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-11T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T12:15:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1991.0,"volume_24hr":1991.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.755950927734375,"normalized_volume":15.12592887878418,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1943.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Maintain current rate","top_outcome_probability":0.87,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.87,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":642.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-12T01:19:54.028039Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T01:19:54.028039Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T18:13:02.573083Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-july/kxcbdecisioneu-26jul23","chart_24h":[0.0,8.0,50.0,1050.0,1056.0,1087.0,1095.0,1195.0,1473.0,1478.0,1490.0,1991.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-HOLD","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-HOLD","question":"Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Maintain current rate","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-11T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T12:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-23T12:14:00Z","volume":642.0,"volume_24hr":642.0,"prob_24h_change":0.87,"volume_24h_change":642.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.620901107788086,"normalized_volume":12.17409896850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T01:20:56.469529Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T01:19:54.219385Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T18:13:02.789381Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-july/kxcbdecisioneu-26jul23","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in July","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.05,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-H25","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-H25","question":"Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Hike 1-25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-11T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T12:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-23T12:14:00Z","volume":52.0,"volume_24hr":52.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":52.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.758218765258789,"normalized_volume":4.58976936340332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T01:44:51.716323Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T01:44:51.716323Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T18:13:02.789381Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-july/kxcbdecisioneu-26jul23","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in July","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-H25P","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-H25P","question":"Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Hike more than 25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-11T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T12:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-23T12:14:00Z","volume":1042.0,"volume_24hr":1042.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":1042.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.579787254333496,"normalized_volume":14.063637733459473,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T01:20:56.469529Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T01:19:54.219385Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T18:13:02.789381Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-july/kxcbdecisioneu-26jul23","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in July","chart_24h":[0.0,0.55,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-C25P","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-C25P","question":"Will the European Central Bank Cut more than 25bps at the July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Cut more than 25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-11T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T12:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-23T12:14:00Z","volume":114.0,"volume_24hr":114.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":114.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.796096324920654,"normalized_volume":6.555502891540527,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T23:40:20.100056Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T23:39:13.174088Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T18:13:02.789381Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-july/kxcbdecisioneu-26jul23","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in July","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-C25","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23-C25","question":"Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Cut 1-25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-11T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T12:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-23T12:14:00Z","volume":141.0,"volume_24hr":141.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":141.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.413645267486572,"normalized_volume":7.15118932723999,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-12T01:20:56.469529Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-12T01:19:54.219385Z","added_at":"2026-06-11T18:13:02.789381Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-july/kxcbdecisioneu-26jul23","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in July","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCBDECISIONEU-26JUL23","as_of":"2026-06-12T01:51:22.583867Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"European Central Bank rate decision in July\" — top market at 5% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}