{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","as_of":"2026-10-13T11:38:43.888326Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"European Central Bank rate decision in October\" — \"Maintain current rate\" leads at 92% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","ticker":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","title":"European Central Bank rate decision in October","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T13:15:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37915.2,"volume_24hr":1397.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.582009315490723,"normalized_volume":29.88931655883789,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":12459.99,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Maintain current rate","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-27.339999999999975,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T10:58:17.964338Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T10:58:17.964338Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T18:13:58.789298Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29","chart_24h":[1223.0,2078.94,2074.93,2074.95,2079.0099999999998,2066.96,2058.12,2062.12,2062.12,2062.16,2066.19,2070.23,2070.24,2050.24,2000.25,2405.5,2505.5,2505.51,1787.3700000000001,1397.64],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-HOLD","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-HOLD","question":"Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Maintain current rate","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T13:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-29T13:14:00Z","result":null,"volume":16898.1,"volume_24hr":330.49,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-27.339999999999975,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.591952323913574,"normalized_volume":29.502084732055664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T10:58:18.462757Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T10:58:18.462757Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T18:13:59.317003Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in October","chart_24h":[0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-H25","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-H25","question":"Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Hike 1-25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T13:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-29T13:14:00Z","result":null,"volume":18758.58,"volume_24hr":1067.15,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":205.0300000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.293464660644531,"normalized_volume":30.138519287109375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T10:29:45.631491Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T10:29:45.631491Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T18:13:59.317003Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in October","chart_24h":[0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-C25","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-C25","question":"Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Cut 1-25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T13:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-29T13:14:00Z","result":null,"volume":576.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.584248542785645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T11:21:25.599005Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T11:21:25.599005Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T18:13:59.317003Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in October","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-C25P","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-C25P","question":"Will the European Central Bank Cut more than 25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Cut more than 25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T13:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-29T13:14:00Z","result":null,"volume":955.94,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.665643692016602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T23:54:33.622803Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T23:54:33.622803Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T18:13:59.317003Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in October","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-H25P","event_id":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29","slug":"KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-H25P","question":"Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?","group_item_title":"Hike more than 25bps","description":"If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"No change\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., \"25-50bp\" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-05T13:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-29T13:14:00Z","result":null,"volume":726.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.517366409301758,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T16:35:44.164568Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T16:35:44.164568Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T18:13:59.317003Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdecisioneu/european-central-bank-rate-decision-in-october/kxcbdecisioneu-26oct29","event_title":"European Central Bank rate decision in October","chart_24h":null}]}