{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","as_of":"2026-10-08T16:50:01.280320Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Poland rate decision in November\" — \"Maintain current rate\" leads at 68% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-10-08 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","ticker":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","slug":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","title":"Poland rate decision in November","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T19:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7101.549999999999,"volume_24hr":6777.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.222328186035156,"normalized_volume":21.18062400817871,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6673.05,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Maintain current rate","top_outcome_probability":0.68,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.49000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2951.3599999999997,"updated_at":"2026-10-08T16:25:28.781649Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T16:25:28.781649Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T19:22:26.569781Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04","chart_24h":[359.83,367.93,365.87,229.87,228.84,4935.34,5635.34,5585.34,6763.09],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-HOLD","event_id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","slug":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-HOLD","question":"Will the Narodowy Bank Polski maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?","group_item_title":"Maintain current rate","description":"If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"Maintain current rate\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T19:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T13:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":3065.7,"volume_24hr":3009.89,"prob_24h_change":0.49000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":2951.3599999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.460908889770508,"normalized_volume":20.06470489501953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T19:22:26.755829Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04","event_title":"Poland rate decision in November","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-H25","event_id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","slug":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-H25","question":"Will the Narodowy Bank Polski hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?","group_item_title":"Hike 1-25bps","description":"If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"Maintain current rate\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T19:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T13:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1174.62,"volume_24hr":1173.24,"prob_24h_change":-0.43000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1170.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.04793357849121,"normalized_volume":15.558332443237305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T19:22:26.755829Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04","event_title":"Poland rate decision in November","chart_24h":[0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-H25P","event_id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","slug":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-H25P","question":"Will the Narodowy Bank Polski hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?","group_item_title":"Hike more than 25bps","description":"If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"Maintain current rate\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T19:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T13:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":392.77,"volume_24hr":361.5,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":298.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.239910125732422,"normalized_volume":11.116464614868164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T16:25:30.075397Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T16:25:30.075397Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T19:22:26.755829Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04","event_title":"Poland rate decision in November","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-C25","event_id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","slug":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-C25","question":"Will the Narodowy Bank Polski cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?","group_item_title":"Cut 1-25bps","description":"If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"Maintain current rate\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T19:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T13:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":751.23,"volume_24hr":516.23,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":279.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.885326385498047,"normalized_volume":13.655085563659668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T19:22:26.755829Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04","event_title":"Poland rate decision in November","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-C25P","event_id":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04","slug":"KXCBDPOLAND-26NOV04-C25P","question":"Will the Narodowy Bank Polski cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?","group_item_title":"Cut more than 25bps","description":"If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for \"Maintain current rate\" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T19:10:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T13:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1717.23,"volume_24hr":1716.23,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1713.6100000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.151561737060547,"normalized_volume":17.27353286743164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T16:11:22.573742Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T19:22:26.755829Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdpoland/poland-rate-decision-in-november/kxcbdpoland-26nov04","event_title":"Poland rate decision in November","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]}]}