{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","ticker":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3336.54,"volume_24hr":1055.47,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.525455474853516,"normalized_volume":17.821033477783203,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2796.67,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-31.309999999999945,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T03:22:16.682343Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T03:22:16.682343Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.389492Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","chart_24h":[601.91,632.51,667.38,167.38,105.47,1055.47],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBN","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBN","question":"Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raise the Official Cash Rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Reserve Bank of New Zealand","description":"If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raising the Official Cash Rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1092.51,"volume_24hr":530.6,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-31.309999999999945,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.207691192626953,"normalized_volume":15.886120796203613,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T04:01:35.872953Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T04:01:35.872953Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOC","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOC","question":"Will the Bank of Canada raise its target for the overnight rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Bank of Canada","description":"If the Bank of Canada raising its target for the overnight rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":436.33,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.145322799682617,"normalized_volume":11.997235298156738,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T03:23:17.488507Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T03:22:16.751485Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-FED","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-FED","question":"Will the Federal Reserve raise the target range for the federal funds rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"US Federal Reserve","description":"If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":385.78,"volume_24hr":74.87,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":34.870000000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.760084629058838,"normalized_volume":11.517434120178223,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T22:10:58.137072Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T22:10:03.024618Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-SNB","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-SNB","question":"Will the Swiss National Bank raise the SNB policy rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Swiss National Bank","description":"If the Swiss National Bank raising the SNB policy rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.013071060180664,"normalized_volume":9.90630054473877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T03:48:37.750370Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T03:48:37.750370Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOE","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOE","question":"Will the Bank of England raise the Bank Rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Bank of England","description":"If the Bank of England raising the Bank Rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":387.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.536886215209961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T01:26:52.579919Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T20:38:51.630126Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.79,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-NOR","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-NOR","question":"Will Norges Bank raise its policy rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Norges Bank","description":"If Norges Bank raising its policy rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.90630054473877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T20:38:51.630126Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T20:38:51.630126Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBA","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RBA","question":"Will the Reserve Bank of Australia raise its cash rate target before 2027?","group_item_title":"Reserve Bank of Australia","description":"If the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its cash rate target is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":479.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.368999481201172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T00:33:40.167287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T00:33:40.167287Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RIK","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-RIK","question":"Will the Riksbank raise its policy rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Riksbank","description":"If the Riksbank raising its policy rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.25754976272583,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T06:13:20.093963Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T16:54:14.912981Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOJ","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-BOJ","question":"Will the Bank of Japan raise its policy rate or target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"Bank of Japan","description":"If the Bank of Japan raising its policy rate or target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T19:34:50.335936Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T17:44:30.109888Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-ECB","event_id":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27","slug":"KXCBRATEHIKE-27-ECB","question":"Will the European Central Bank raise its deposit facility rate before 2027?","group_item_title":"European Central Bank","description":"If the European Central Bank raising its deposit facility rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.\n\nIf the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"updated_at":"2026-05-27T22:10:58.137072Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T16:54:14.912981Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T21:10:58.482550Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbratehike/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027/kxcbratehike-27","event_title":"Which central banks will hike before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCBRATEHIKE-27","as_of":"2026-05-28T06:27:00.486467Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which central banks will hike before 2027?\" — top market at 85% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}