{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","ticker":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above -0.10","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:10.995539Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:10.995539Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:10.995539Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.10","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.10","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above -0.10?","group_item_title":"Above -0.10","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n-0.10, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.20","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.20","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above -0.20?","group_item_title":"Above -0.20","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n-0.20, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.30","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.30","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above -0.30?","group_item_title":"Above -0.30","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n-0.30, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:11.450118Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:41:11.450118Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.40","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T-0.40","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above -0.40?","group_item_title":"Above -0.40","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n-0.40, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:08:59.484231Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:08:59.484231Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T0.00","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T0.00","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above 0.00?","group_item_title":"Above 0.00","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n0.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T0.10","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T0.10","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above 0.10?","group_item_title":"Above 0.10","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n0.10, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T19:38:11.770171Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T0.20","event_id":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21","slug":"KXCFNAI-26SEP21-T0.20","question":"Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above 0.20?","group_item_title":"Above 0.20","description":"If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above \n\n0.20, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.\n\nThis market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T12:25:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-21T12:24:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T22:53:34.559629Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T22:53:34.559629Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T19:07:11.139571Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcfnai/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-august/kxcfnai-26sep21","event_title":"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCFNAI-26SEP21","as_of":"2026-09-15T03:33:15.608466Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August\" — top market at 0% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}