{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","ticker":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","slug":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","title":"Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":349.09000000000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.303563117980957,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":346.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.33,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-17T16:21:17.580247Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T16:21:17.580247Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T14:00:49.551295Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinabanksanc/will-the-treasury-announce-sanctions-on-a-chinese-bank/kxchinabanksanc-26aug","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG-27JAN01","event_id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","slug":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG-27JAN01","question":"Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network announce sanctions on a Chinese bank, meaning the addition of an institution licensed as a bank by China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List or to the Correspondent Account or Payable-Through Account Sanctions List, or a final rule imposing a special measure on such an institution under Section 311 of the USA PATRIOT Act before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Chinese bank means an institution holding a banking licence from China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. A designation naming only a subsidiary, branch, affiliate or parent counts only if the licensed bank itself is named, and one qualifying bank is sufficient.\n\nAdding a qualifying bank to the SDN List or the CAPTA List, or a FinCEN final rule imposing a Section 311 special measure on one, resolves the market to YES. The stated reason for the designation is irrelevant, and a later delisting does not reverse a resolution already made.\n\nA threat or reported plan, a civil penalty over past conduct, addition to the Commerce Entity List, sanctions by another government, or designation of a Chinese entity that is not a licensed bank, such as a payment processor, exchange house, refinery or trading firm, do NOT resolve the market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":145.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.731555938720703,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:00.021194Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:00.021194Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T14:00:49.837592Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinabanksanc/will-the-treasury-announce-sanctions-on-a-chinese-bank/kxchinabanksanc-26aug","event_title":"Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG-26OCT01","event_id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","slug":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG-26OCT01","question":"Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network announce sanctions on a Chinese bank, meaning the addition of an institution licensed as a bank by China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List or to the Correspondent Account or Payable-Through Account Sanctions List, or a final rule imposing a special measure on such an institution under Section 311 of the USA PATRIOT Act before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Chinese bank means an institution holding a banking licence from China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. A designation naming only a subsidiary, branch, affiliate or parent counts only if the licensed bank itself is named, and one qualifying bank is sufficient.\n\nAdding a qualifying bank to the SDN List or the CAPTA List, or a FinCEN final rule imposing a Section 311 special measure on one, resolves the market to YES. The stated reason for the designation is irrelevant, and a later delisting does not reverse a resolution already made.\n\nA threat or reported plan, a civil penalty over past conduct, addition to the Commerce Entity List, sanctions by another government, or designation of a Chinese entity that is not a licensed bank, such as a payment processor, exchange house, refinery or trading firm, do NOT resolve the market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":204.09,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.821969985961914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:00.021194Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:00.021194Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T14:00:49.837592Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinabanksanc/will-the-treasury-announce-sanctions-on-a-chinese-bank/kxchinabanksanc-26aug","event_title":"Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG-26NOV11","event_id":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","slug":"KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG-26NOV11","question":"Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network announce sanctions on a Chinese bank, meaning the addition of an institution licensed as a bank by China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List or to the Correspondent Account or Payable-Through Account Sanctions List, or a final rule imposing a special measure on such an institution under Section 311 of the USA PATRIOT Act before Nov 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 11, 2026","description":"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Chinese bank means an institution holding a banking licence from China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. A designation naming only a subsidiary, branch, affiliate or parent counts only if the licensed bank itself is named, and one qualifying bank is sufficient.\n\nAdding a qualifying bank to the SDN List or the CAPTA List, or a FinCEN final rule imposing a Section 311 special measure on one, resolves the market to YES. The stated reason for the designation is irrelevant, and a later delisting does not reverse a resolution already made.\n\nA threat or reported plan, a civil penalty over past conduct, addition to the Commerce Entity List, sanctions by another government, or designation of a Chinese entity that is not a licensed bank, such as a payment processor, exchange house, refinery or trading firm, do NOT resolve the market to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-11T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:00.021194Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T16:36:00.021194Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T14:00:49.837592Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinabanksanc/will-the-treasury-announce-sanctions-on-a-chinese-bank/kxchinabanksanc-26aug","event_title":"Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCHINABANKSANC-26AUG","as_of":"2026-09-18T05:35:00.352377Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?\" — top market at 33% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}