{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","ticker":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","slug":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","title":"Will China abolish hukou?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1097.0,"volume_24hr":1097.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.435072898864746,"normalized_volume":11.331497192382812,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":533.44,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2029","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":140.48,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:14:27.861560Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:14:27.861560Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:32.220202Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinahukou/will-china-abolish-hukou/kxchinahukou-26jul08","chart_24h":[0.0,391.92,392.92,1086.0,1087.0,1097.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-29JAN01","event_id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","slug":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-29JAN01","question":"Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before 2029","description":"If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":140.48,"volume_24hr":140.48,"prob_24h_change":0.17,"volume_24h_change":140.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.7425384521484375,"normalized_volume":6.878088474273682,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T00:15:53.840548Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T00:14:40.259346Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:32.403690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinahukou/will-china-abolish-hukou/kxchinahukou-26jul08","event_title":"Will China abolish hukou?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-30JAN01","event_id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","slug":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-30JAN01","question":"Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Before 2030","description":"If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":334.08,"volume_24hr":334.08,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":334.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.673320770263672,"normalized_volume":9.481650352478027,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T01:34:19.794297Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T01:34:19.794297Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:32.403690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinahukou/will-china-abolish-hukou/kxchinahukou-26jul08","event_title":"Will China abolish hukou?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-28JAN01","event_id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","slug":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-28JAN01","question":"Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before 2028","description":"If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":128.48,"volume_24hr":128.48,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":128.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.467872142791748,"normalized_volume":6.63408899307251,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T01:07:53.763051Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T01:07:53.763051Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:32.403690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinahukou/will-china-abolish-hukou/kxchinahukou-26jul08","event_title":"Will China abolish hukou?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-27JAN01","event_id":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","slug":"KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08-27JAN01","question":"Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAn agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:\n\nFormal signing of treaties\nParliamentary approval with binding effect\nOfficial ratification\nFormal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority\nOfficial statements by authorized ministers\nOfficial press releases\nFormal declarations during government proceedings\nOfficial statements to international bodies\n\nPhased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.\n\nThe following do NOT qualify:\n\nPreliminary discussions\nConditional agreements contingent on circumstances\nOpposition party statements\nLeaked documents\nThink-tank recommendations\nGeneral aspirations without specific commitment\nDraft legislation without approval\nRegional actions (unless specified)\nRetraction of previously announced commitments","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":493.96,"volume_24hr":493.96,"prob_24h_change":-0.34,"volume_24h_change":493.96,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.153593063354492,"normalized_volume":10.796650886535645,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T02:15:41.203374Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T02:14:28.146480Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T21:05:32.403690Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinahukou/will-china-abolish-hukou/kxchinahukou-26jul08","event_title":"Will China abolish hukou?","chart_24h":[0.39,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.07,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCHINAHUKOU-26JUL08","as_of":"2026-07-08T03:38:08.463291Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will China abolish hukou?\" — top market at 5% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}