{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCIT301-BBAR27","ticker":"KXCIT301-BBAR27","slug":"KXCIT301-BBAR27","title":"Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T01:07:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4546.0,"volume_24hr":4546.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.34687614440918,"normalized_volume":19.62338638305664,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4226.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.48,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.48,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4546.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-15T21:47:43.824594Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T21:47:43.824594Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T01:11:51.952851Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcit301/will-the-cit-strike-down-trumps-section-301-tariffs-in-2026/kxcit301-bbar27","chart_24h":[4526.0,4546.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCIT301-BBAR27","event_id":"KXCIT301-BBAR27","slug":"KXCIT301-BBAR27","question":"Will the U.S. Court of International Trade rule issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party?","group_item_title":"Before 2027","description":"If the U.S. Court of International Trade issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v. United States and New York v. United States, No. 26-03467, or any consolidation or recaptioning thereof before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe ruling must:\nBe issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v. United States and New York v. United States, No. 26-03467, or any consolidation or recaptioning thereof\nAddress the matter described by the specified judgment\nBe issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\nOral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order\nTentative rulings that are not made final\nDraft opinions that leak but are not officially issued\nSettlements or voluntary dismissals\nAdministrative or scheduling orders\nOrders to show cause\nMinute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment\n\nFor clarity:\nIf the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction\nSua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment\nPer curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings\nIf multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.32999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T01:07:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":4546.0,"volume_24hr":4546.0,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":4546.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.06561851501465,"normalized_volume":22.08171844482422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T22:33:51.682716Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T22:33:51.682716Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T01:11:52.179249Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcit301/will-the-cit-strike-down-trumps-section-301-tariffs-in-2026/kxcit301-bbar27","event_title":"Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.48]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCIT301-BBAR27","as_of":"2026-08-16T00:23:31.201525Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?\" — top market at 48% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}