{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","ticker":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","slug":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","title":"Will the Citrini scenario happen?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25899849.57,"volume_24hr":10973.33,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.833728790283203,"normalized_volume":80.69249725341797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":176344.41,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10657.9,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T03:41:55.863730Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T03:41:55.863730Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01","chart_24h":[314.15,10916.69,10913.35,10923.35,10927.51,10923.35,10926.44,10969.72,10947.35,10973.33],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","event_id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","slug":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","question":"Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If at least 3 of: \nunemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)\nS&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance\nZillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix\nlabor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%\nCPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release\n\noccur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":25899849.57,"volume_24hr":10973.33,"prob_24h_change":-0.05000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":10657.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.27325439453125,"normalized_volume":90.70549774169922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T03:45:36.042689Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T03:41:55.999911Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01","event_title":"Will the Citrini scenario happen?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCITRINI-28JUL01","as_of":"2026-08-14T07:53:30.433734Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Citrini scenario happen?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}