{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","ticker":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","slug":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","title":"Will the Citrini scenario happen?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25838087.15,"volume_24hr":2732.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.256301879882812,"normalized_volume":69.8615951538086,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":185495.35,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1331.46,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:13:44.820350Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:13:44.820350Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01","chart_24h":[1401.0,1487.0,1488.0,1498.0,1520.0,1538.0,1538.0,1559.33,1565.99,2576.1,2613.13,2613.13,2733.46,2732.46],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","event_id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","slug":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","question":"Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If at least 3 of: \nunemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)\nS&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance\nZillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix\nlabor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%\nCPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release\n\noccur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":25838087.15,"volume_24hr":2732.46,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":1331.46,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.555681228637695,"normalized_volume":86.15213775634766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T05:28:41.717272Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T05:13:44.981616Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01","event_title":"Will the Citrini scenario happen?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCITRINI-28JUL01","as_of":"2026-06-30T05:42:36.061580Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Citrini scenario happen?\" — top market at 23% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}