{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCITRINI-28JUL01","as_of":"2026-10-09T04:22:21.450631Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the Citrini scenario happen?\" — 18% as of 2026-10-09 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCITRINI-28JUL01","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","ticker":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","slug":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","title":"Will the Citrini scenario happen?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25934019.53,"volume_24hr":2686.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.912063598632812,"normalized_volume":78.45402526855469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":169229.29,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yes","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2641.16,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T02:01:19.406923Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T02:01:19.406923Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01","chart_24h":[43.33,36.33,30.01,23.69,23.69,25.69,17.0,17.0,28.69,2517.31,2686.64],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","event_id":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","slug":"KXCITRINI-28JUL01","question":"Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?","group_item_title":"Yes","description":"If at least 3 of: \nunemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)\nS&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance\nZillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix\nlabor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%\nCPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release\n\noccur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-25T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-07-01T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":25934019.53,"volume_24hr":2686.64,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":2641.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.69823455810547,"normalized_volume":90.7195053100586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T02:29:42.237421Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T02:29:42.237421Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcitrini/will-the-citrini-scenario-happen/kxcitrini-28jul01","event_title":"Will the Citrini scenario happen?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18]}]}