{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","ticker":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3887.02,"volume_24hr":3887.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.40241050720215,"normalized_volume":15.743687629699707,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3842.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reclaim Party","top_outcome_probability":0.11,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.11,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:07:19.786223Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:07:19.786223Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.508637Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","chart_24h":[0.0,1.0,834.0,977.0,3663.01,3883.02,3887.02],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-REC","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-REC","question":"Will Reclaim Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Reclaim Party","description":"If Reclaim Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":4.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8518136739730835,"normalized_volume":0.7264858484268188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:27:26.148979Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:27:26.148979Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-WOR","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-WOR","question":"Will Luke Worley finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Luke Worley","description":"If Luke Worley (as an Independent) finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":7.01,"volume_24hr":7.01,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":7.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4236762523651123,"normalized_volume":1.214210033416748,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:40:38.519165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:40:38.519165Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-BIN","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-BIN","question":"Will Count Binface Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Count Binface Party","description":"If Count Binface Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":20.01,"volume_24hr":20.01,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":20.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.0490903854370117,"normalized_volume":2.6004762649536133,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:01:17.191893Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T23:01:17.191893Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-COR","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-COR","question":"Will Piers Corbyn finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Piers Corbyn","description":"If Piers Corbyn (as an Independent) finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.15799635648727417,"normalized_volume":0.13475026190280914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T18:59:23.356594Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-FOR","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-FOR","question":"Will Forward Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Forward Party","description":"If Forward Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":251.0,"volume_24hr":251.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":251.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.054412841796875,"normalized_volume":8.575101852416992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:28:57.986839Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:27:26.148979Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-GRA","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-GRA","question":"Will Ollie Granger finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Ollie Granger","description":"If Ollie Granger (as an Independent) finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":94.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":94.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.819597244262695,"normalized_volume":5.816226005554199,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T19:26:13.962643Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T19:26:13.962643Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-MON","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-MON","question":"Will Official Monster Raving Loony Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Official Monster Raving Loony Party","description":"If Official Monster Raving Loony Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":75.0,"volume_24hr":75.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":75.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.167640209197998,"normalized_volume":5.260191917419434,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:40:38.519165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:40:38.519165Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-HER","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-HER","question":"Will Heritage Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Heritage Party","description":"If Heritage Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":243.0,"volume_24hr":243.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":243.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.937432289123535,"normalized_volume":8.475333213806152,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:40.437744Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:33:40.437744Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-CLI","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-CLI","question":"Will Climate Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Climate Party","description":"If Climate Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":319.0,"volume_24hr":319.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":319.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.941956520080566,"normalized_volume":9.332060813903809,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:06:27.617686Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T20:06:27.617686Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-TON","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-TON","question":"Will Tony Mack finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Tony Mack","description":"If Tony Mack (as an Independent) finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":243.0,"volume_24hr":243.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":243.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.937432289123535,"normalized_volume":8.475333213806152,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T23:01:17.191893Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T23:01:17.191893Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-CON","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-CON","question":"Will Conservative Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Conservative Party","description":"If Conservative Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":874.0,"volume_24hr":874.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":874.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.090903282165527,"normalized_volume":12.87057113647461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:09:15.687451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:07:19.957530Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-LAB","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-LAB","question":"Will Labour Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Labour Party","description":"If Labour Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":874.0,"volume_24hr":874.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":874.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.090903282165527,"normalized_volume":12.87057113647461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T22:09:15.687451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T22:07:19.957530Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-REF","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-REF","question":"Will Reform UK finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Reform UK","description":"If Reform UK finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":882.0,"volume_24hr":882.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":882.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.13148021697998,"normalized_volume":12.90517807006836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T18:34:35.548507Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T18:32:52.407952Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.02,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-BRI","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-BRI","question":"Will British Democratic Party finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"British Democratic Party","description":"If British Democratic Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T19:39:31.131222Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T19:39:31.131222Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-REU","event_id":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","slug":"KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4-REU","question":"Will Rejoin EU finish 4th in the 2026 Clacton by-election?","group_item_title":"Rejoin EU","description":"If Rejoin EU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method:\nFor plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage\nFor ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)\nFor two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals\nFor proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-13T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-09T21:40:38.519165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T21:40:38.519165Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T15:35:49.670308Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclacton4th/clacton-by-election-4th-place/kxclacton4th-clactonbyelection26sep01-4","event_title":"Clacton by-election: 4th place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLACTON4TH-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-4","as_of":"2026-07-09T23:53:29.676901Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Clacton by-election: 4th place\" — top market at 1% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}