{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","ticker":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2664.41,"volume_24hr":2664.41,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.238521575927734,"normalized_volume":14.39848804473877,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2462.39,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Reform UK, ≥10%","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.98,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":530.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-07T20:51:41.336729Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T20:51:41.336729Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.629457Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","chart_24h":[721.06,1674.22,2294.2200000000003,2316.78,2664.41],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P55","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":530.0,"volume_24hr":530.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":530.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.183459281921387,"normalized_volume":11.042648315429688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:31:18.349428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:31:18.349428Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P60","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.18999999999999995],"probability":0.81,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":147.64,"volume_24hr":147.64,"prob_24h_change":-0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":147.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.740720272064209,"normalized_volume":7.015909671783447,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:31:18.349428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:31:18.349428Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P62","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":211.91,"volume_24hr":211.91,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":209.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.892965316772461,"normalized_volume":8.060262680053711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:18:05.170536Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:18:05.170536Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.64,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 35%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥35%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 35% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":380.02,"volume_24hr":380.02,"prob_24h_change":0.26999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":374.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.928634643554688,"normalized_volume":9.905320167541504,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:44:46.037325Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:44:46.037325Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P65","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P65","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 30%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":192.42,"volume_24hr":192.42,"prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":188.39999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.577296257019043,"normalized_volume":7.7741522789001465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T21:18:05.170536Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T21:18:05.170536Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.67,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P70","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P70","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 40%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥40%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 40% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":1202.42,"volume_24hr":1202.42,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":493.4200000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.56777572631836,"normalized_volume":14.11007022857666,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T20:53:19.960996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T20:51:41.434194Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.44,0.44,0.59]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P52","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P52","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 5%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 5% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T17:43:40.458196Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T17:40:47.365296Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P57","event_id":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","slug":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Reform UK, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Reform UK minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Reform UK minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Reform UK loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Reform UK wins, or the electoral votes received by Reform UK minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Reform UK does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Reform UK will be summed.\n\nIf Reform UK wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Reform UK loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Reform UK is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:48:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:15.350639Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T19:31:15.350639Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:57:16.748252Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclactonbymov/clacton-by-election-margin-of-victory/kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01","event_title":"Clacton by-election margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01","as_of":"2026-07-07T21:58:32.857462Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Clacton by-election margin of victory?\" — top market at 59% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}