{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","ticker":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","title":"Claude App Downloads in October","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":437.71,"volume_24hr":429.92,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.664046287536621,"normalized_volume":9.976439476013184,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":437.71,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 600","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T09:43:49.858576Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:43:49.858576Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.113489Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T600","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T600","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 600 ?","group_item_title":"Above 600","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 600 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.598345994949341,"normalized_volume":3.304511547088623,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T16:29:48.862157Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T16:29:48.862157Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T1400","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T1400","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 1400 ?","group_item_title":"Above 1400","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 1400 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.6100000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":412.71,"volume_24hr":404.92,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.228361129760742,"normalized_volume":11.301011085510254,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T04:41:11.460977Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T04:41:11.460977Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T1700","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T1700","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 1700 ?","group_item_title":"Above 1700","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 1700 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T08:33:07.683034Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T08:33:07.683034Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T2000","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T2000","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 2000 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2000","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 2000 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T08:33:07.683034Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T08:33:07.683034Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T2300","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T2300","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 2300 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2300","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 2300 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.75,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T07:33:53.062222Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T07:33:53.062222Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T2600","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T2600","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 2600 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2600","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 2600 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T08:03:10.278352Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T08:03:10.278352Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T5800","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08-T5800","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for October 2026 be above 5800 ?","group_item_title":"Above 5800","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 5800 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.\n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-15T06:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-08T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T08:33:07.683034Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T08:33:07.683034Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T04:05:05.555733Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-october/kxclaudeapp-26nov08","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in October","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLAUDEAPP-26NOV08","as_of":"2026-10-05T09:07:29.026556Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Claude App Downloads in October\" — top market at 64% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}