{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","ticker":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","title":"Claude App Downloads in August","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3366.54,"volume_24hr":3289.23,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.663490295410156,"normalized_volume":18.158889770507812,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2422.54,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 1600","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.89,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1172.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.246295Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.246295Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T21:12:30.044363Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","chart_24h":[0.0,844.0,844.0,2889.0,2889.15,3289.23],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T1600","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T1600","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 1600 ?","group_item_title":"Above 1600","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 1600 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":1172.0,"volume_24hr":1172.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":1172.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.025808334350586,"normalized_volume":15.548513412475586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T03:34:48.157870Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T03:34:48.157870Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T21:12:30.336039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T1800","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T1800","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 1800 ?","group_item_title":"Above 1800","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 1800 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.15999999999999992,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":118.0,"volume_24hr":118.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":118.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.614788055419922,"normalized_volume":7.110103130340576,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T21:12:30.336039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2000","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2000","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 2000 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2000","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 2000 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.35000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":410.31,"volume_24hr":333.0,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":333.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.21562671661377,"normalized_volume":11.279196739196777,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:04:09.027551Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T21:12:30.336039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2200","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2200","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 2200 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2200","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 2200 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.16999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":944.0,"volume_24hr":944.0,"prob_24h_change":0.63,"volume_24h_change":944.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.759437561035156,"normalized_volume":14.61203670501709,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T21:12:30.336039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2400","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2400","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 2400 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2400","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 2400 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.22000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":722.23,"volume_24hr":722.23,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":722.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.246807098388672,"normalized_volume":13.493451118469238,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T04:02:50.417144Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T21:12:30.336039Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.2,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2600","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2600","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 2600 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2600","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 2600 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T23:40:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T00:05:07.575043Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T23:43:51.336427Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T23:43:51.336427Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2800","event_id":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","slug":"KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07-T2800","question":"Will Claude App Downloads for August 2026 be above 2800 ?","group_item_title":"Above 2800","description":"If the Carbon Arc Claude App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 2800 , then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. \n\nThe index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Claude App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. \n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T23:40:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-14T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-07T02:29:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T00:05:07.575043Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T23:43:51.336427Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T23:43:51.336427Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclaudeapp/claude-app-downloads-in-august/kxclaudeapp-26sep07","event_title":"Claude App Downloads in August","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLAUDEAPP-26SEP07","as_of":"2026-08-11T04:10:35.380292Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Claude App Downloads in August\" — top market at 89% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}