{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10","ticker":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10","slug":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10","title":"Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6646.0,"volume_24hr":6646.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.91206169128418,"normalized_volume":20.8968505859375,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":6646.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Michigan US Senate","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.65,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2946.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T14:48:42.864175Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T14:48:42.864175Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:47.403763Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcloserminhsen/closer-senate-race-michigan-or-new-hampshire/kxcloserminhsen-26nov10","chart_24h":[0.0,25.0,6646.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10-MISEN","event_id":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10","slug":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10-MISEN","question":"Will Michigan US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate?","group_item_title":"Michigan US Senate","description":"If Michigan US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":2946.0,"volume_24hr":2946.0,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":2946.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.07861328125,"normalized_volume":19.866188049316406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T17:02:39.631762Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T17:02:39.631762Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:48.296447Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcloserminhsen/closer-senate-race-michigan-or-new-hampshire/kxcloserminhsen-26nov10","event_title":"Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10-NHSEN","event_id":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10","slug":"KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10-NHSEN","question":"Will New Hampshire US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire US Senate","description":"If New Hampshire US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":3700.0,"volume_24hr":3700.0,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":3700.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.297985076904297,"normalized_volume":21.015422821044922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:33:41.438749Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:33:41.438749Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T19:08:48.296447Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcloserminhsen/closer-senate-race-michigan-or-new-hampshire/kxcloserminhsen-26nov10","event_title":"Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.34,0.34]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLOSERMINHSEN-26NOV10","as_of":"2026-10-02T17:46:24.412589Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?\" — top market at 34% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}