{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","ticker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":248217.5,"volume_24hr":1980.1399999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.864566802978516,"normalized_volume":42.73331069946289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":169966.81,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Texas","top_outcome_probability":0.17,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-22.090000000000032,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T06:56:12.765732Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T06:56:12.765732Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","chart_24h":[4920.08,4920.08,4933.55,5405.55,5353.02,5407.61,4940.02,4920.52,2910.52,2810.52,3886.52,3869.25,3580.91,3648.2599999999998,3681.9,1763.1899999999998,1767.6399999999999,1821.16,1960.1399999999999,1980.1399999999999],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","question":"Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"If Texas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. 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For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":24932.51,"volume_24hr":121.19,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1889.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.144734382629395,"normalized_volume":31.906627655029297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T05:45:15.511973Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T05:42:09.035327Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","question":"Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"If Alaska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":16244.56,"volume_24hr":1076.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-0.849999999999909,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.303298950195312,"normalized_volume":29.263517379760742,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T06:42:22.338242Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T05:42:09.035327Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NC","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NC","question":"Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"If North Carolina has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. 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For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":19707.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-25.66,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.441429138183594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T05:08:50.411933Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T05:04:54.272168Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-OH","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-OH","question":"Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"If Ohio has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":23819.63,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.619468688964844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T03:14:20.053630Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T06:41:36.186555Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ME","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ME","question":"Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Maine","description":"If Maine has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.092,0.908],"probability":0.092,"spread":0.006999999999999992,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":22363.64,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-17.27,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.224952697753906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T00:39:39.700815Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T00:22:39.603863Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.092,0.092,0.092,0.092,0.092,0.092]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","question":"Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Nebraska","description":"If Nebraska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.937],"probability":0.063,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":12732.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.811626434326172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T04:50:19.111074Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T04:02:10.444344Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.063,0.063]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-FL","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-FL","question":"Will Florida have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"If Florida has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":10742.75,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.820690155029297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T03:45:36.042689Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T08:18:29.552653Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-KS","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-KS","question":"Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":"If Kansas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":9568.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1965.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.155696868896484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T04:15:50.067797Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T04:13:11.409692Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SC","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SC","question":"Will South Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"If South Carolina has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":6707.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.168272018432617,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T14:27:52.309149Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T11:44:23.752283Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","question":"Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"If New Hampshire has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.033,0.967],"probability":0.033,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":9904.53,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.353307723999023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T15:03:26.677099Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T00:26:22.421842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.033,0.033]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","question":"Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"If Georgia has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":24490.62,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.794015884399414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T21:03:11.606283Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T20:59:46.126226Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.031,0.031]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","question":"Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.0009999999999999974,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":9496.88,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.113122940063477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T15:37:15.081474Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T15:37:15.081474Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MT","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MT","question":"Will Montana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Montana","description":"If Montana has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":9226.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.94872283935547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T02:41:28.425102Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T21:02:31.002881Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:17.308634Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SD","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SD","question":"Will South Dakota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"South Dakota","description":"If South Dakota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":1472.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.568544387817383,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-13T21:40:36.732250Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-13T18:01:18.617935Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:55:42.931981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ID","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ID","question":"Will Idaho have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Idaho","description":"If Idaho has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T04:15:50.067797Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T22:41:34.238521Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:55:42.931981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-08-14T07:53:31.159387Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Closest Senate race in 2026?\" — top market at 11% probability across 17 outcomes","source_url":null}}