{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","ticker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":139568.01,"volume_24hr":2812.17,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.39179039001465,"normalized_volume":33.69438934326172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":107277.12,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Texas","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-787.1899999999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T03:26:34.714233Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T03:26:34.714233Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","chart_24h":[1391.56,1401.56,1562.6,1220.33,1120.72,1113.51,1113.51,1115.51,1115.51,3590.4900000000002,2855.57,2812.17],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","question":"Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"If Texas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. 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For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. 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For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.02099999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":14015.79,"volume_24hr":82.58,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":82.58,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.428374767303467,"normalized_volume":26.962440490722656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T14:03:51.694621Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T14:02:25.427030Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MI","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MI","question":"Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":"If Michigan has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. 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For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. 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For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.063,0.937],"probability":0.063,"spread":0.005999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":6356.26,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0536011457443237,"normalized_volume":22.6818790435791,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T03:28:08.931586Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.063,0.063,0.063]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","question":"Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"If Alaska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.057,0.943],"probability":0.057,"spread":0.0040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":8361.14,"volume_24hr":82.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":82.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.412352561950684,"normalized_volume":24.12405014038086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T22:08:45.666138Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:25.651451Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.054,0.054,0.057]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","question":"Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Nebraska","description":"If Nebraska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":10223.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.210378646850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","question":"Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"If New Hampshire has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.086,0.914],"probability":0.086,"spread":0.021000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":6598.79,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.876237869262695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T01:40:47.426744Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.086,0.086,0.086]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-FL","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-FL","question":"Will Florida have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"If Florida has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":3472.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.658260345458984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T19:43:33.858407Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T14:22:20.812973Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","question":"Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.043,0.957],"probability":0.043,"spread":0.0040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":6018.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.399887084960938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.043,0.043,0.043]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","question":"Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"If Georgia has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":20374.43,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.116504669189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.036,0.036]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-KS","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-KS","question":"Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":"If Kansas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":2406.06,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.929994583129883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T01:40:47.426744Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T12:45:22.433669Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MT","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MT","question":"Will Montana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Montana","description":"If Montana has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":3426.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.593971252441406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:27:35.099423Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:17.308634Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SC","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SC","question":"Will South Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"If South Carolina has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":3843.68,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.151582717895508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T13:37:06.815153Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-26T05:51:56.243163Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-06-30T03:30:28.487986Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Closest Senate race in 2026?\" — top market at 12% probability across 15 outcomes","source_url":null}}