{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","ticker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":625994.64,"volume_24hr":2964.2,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.50665283203125,"normalized_volume":48.09268569946289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":441404.08,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Texas","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-126.00999999999999,"updated_at":"2026-09-29T07:55:46.648153Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T07:55:46.648153Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","chart_24h":[2111.52,2154.3,2165.41,2154.3,2031.34,1967.12,1911.12,1402.12,1335.12,1157.8999999999999,1204.71,1110.6399999999999,1582.85,1547.7,1782.0,1828.85,2881.2,2964.2,2964.2],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","question":"Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"If Texas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":74068.67,"volume_24hr":536.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-126.00999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.59274673461914,"normalized_volume":39.13853454589844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T07:55:53.398294Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T07:55:53.398294Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-IA","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-IA","question":"Will Iowa have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"If Iowa has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":41326.39,"volume_24hr":1099.07,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":937.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.628790855407715,"normalized_volume":35.17119598388672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T04:25:23.240713Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T04:25:23.240713Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-KS","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-KS","question":"Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":"If Kansas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":34738.58,"volume_24hr":42.78,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-683.49,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.5513014793396,"normalized_volume":34.031429290771484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T22:34:26.054638Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T22:34:26.054638Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-OH","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-OH","question":"Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Ohio","description":"If Ohio has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.089,0.911],"probability":0.089,"spread":0.0030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":39740.15,"volume_24hr":57.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.006000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":45.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.297865390777588,"normalized_volume":34.912662506103516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T06:32:21.191588Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T06:32:21.191588Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.095,0.095,0.089]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ME","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ME","question":"Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Maine","description":"If Maine has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.077,0.923],"probability":0.077,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":39264.4,"volume_24hr":11.81,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":11.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.072518825531006,"normalized_volume":34.83330154418945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T22:18:51.078933Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T22:18:51.078933Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.087,0.077,0.077]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SC","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SC","question":"Will South Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":"If South Carolina has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":34241.61,"volume_24hr":93.76,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.60117244720459,"normalized_volume":33.93769836425781,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T01:45:25.674745Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T01:45:25.674745Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-FL","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-FL","question":"Will Florida have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Florida","description":"If Florida has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":31176.27,"volume_24hr":187.39,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":46.849999999999994,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.744951248168945,"normalized_volume":33.33079147338867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T03:48:42.776108Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T03:48:42.776108Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T18:25:26.246458Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","question":"Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"If New Hampshire has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":27751.5,"volume_24hr":900.28,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.75184154510498,"normalized_volume":32.58535385131836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T05:35:44.941635Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T05:35:44.941635Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.036]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NC","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NC","question":"Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"If North Carolina has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.016,0.984],"probability":0.016,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":23303.85,"volume_24hr":35.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":35.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.0922346115112305,"normalized_volume":31.482261657714844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T02:41:17.305092Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T02:41:17.305092Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.015,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","question":"Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Nebraska","description":"If Nebraska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.086,0.914],"probability":0.086,"spread":0.0030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":30107.76,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.106502532958984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-29T07:55:53.398294Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-29T07:55:53.398294Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","question":"Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"If Alaska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":60637.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-67.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.7542610168457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T19:13:25.584280Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T19:13:25.584280Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MI","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MI","question":"Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":"If Michigan has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.074,0.926],"probability":0.074,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":49782.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.413997650146484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T22:34:26.054638Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T22:34:26.054638Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.074,0.074,0.074]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","question":"Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.005999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":24833.11,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.881454467773438,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T19:31:51.975694Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T19:31:51.975694Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ID","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ID","question":"Will Idaho have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Idaho","description":"If Idaho has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":25138.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.958559036254883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T10:31:47.159110Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T10:31:47.159110Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:55:42.931981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-LA","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-LA","question":"Will Louisiana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Louisiana","description":"If Louisiana has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":990.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.819596290588379,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T02:03:30.904832Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T02:03:30.904832Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T17:46:01.560413Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MS","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MS","question":"Will Mississippi have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Mississippi","description":"If Mississippi has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":140.37,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.631888389587402,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T04:18:01.666759Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T04:18:01.666759Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T17:46:01.560413Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MT","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MT","question":"Will Montana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Montana","description":"If Montana has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-30T21:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":32443.8,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.588016510009766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T18:05:16.051795Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T18:05:16.051795Z","added_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:17.308634Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","question":"Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"If Georgia has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.013,0.987],"probability":0.013,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-24T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":43605.82,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.52738952636719,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T20:56:17.792046Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T20:56:17.792046Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AR","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AR","question":"Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"Arkansas","description":"If Arkansas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:35:01.502337Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:35:01.502337Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T17:46:01.560413Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SD","event_id":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","slug":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-SD","question":"Will South Dakota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","group_item_title":"South Dakota","description":"If South Dakota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nMargin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.\n\nIf official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","volume":12602.2,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.751108169555664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T20:57:42.477029Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T20:57:42.477029Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:55:42.931981Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race-in-2026/kxclosestsenate-27jan03","event_title":"Closest Senate race in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","as_of":"2026-09-29T08:15:17.989046Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Closest Senate race in 2026?\" — top market at 13% probability across 20 outcomes","source_url":null}}