{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","ticker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":328929.6,"volume_24hr":7984.49,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.808317184448242,"normalized_volume":40.86709976196289,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":181986.74,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before May 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.25999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1817.92,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:43.234951Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:02:43.234951Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","chart_24h":[4065.7400000000002,4006.68,3641.6800000000003,3865.09,5459.43,6032.8,5848.31,5857.31,5870.6,5864.38,5871.48,7668.43,7656.11,7656.11,7682.37,7888.62,8179.08,8189.08,9703.8,8672.539999999999,6778.0199999999995,6773.839999999999,6751.98,7984.49],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2027","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-01T03:59:00Z","volume":46622.51,"volume_24hr":2497.59,"prob_24h_change":0.25999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":1817.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.134674072265625,"normalized_volume":33.64740753173828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:10:45.967321Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:10:45.967321Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27APR01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27APR01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":29252.9,"volume_24hr":444.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":255.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.625357627868652,"normalized_volume":30.792898178100586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:28.521674Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T13:20:28.521674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAR01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAR01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Mar 1, 2027","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","volume":20785.97,"volume_24hr":565.05,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":565.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.560846328735352,"normalized_volume":28.78065299987793,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:28.366506Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:28.366506Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27FEB01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27FEB01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Feb 1, 2027","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","volume":12081.83,"volume_24hr":1613.86,"prob_24h_change":-0.10000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":19.519999999999982,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.059154510498047,"normalized_volume":25.725229263305664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:15:32.740109Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:15:32.740109Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27JAN01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27JAN01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":21214.36,"volume_24hr":377.67,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":-953.4099999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.018081665039062,"normalized_volume":28.89887809753418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:55:40.506278Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T04:02:39.529527Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26OCT01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26OCT01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","volume":19574.81,"volume_24hr":1298.51,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1084.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.070449829101562,"normalized_volume":28.434139251708984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:28.366506Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:54:28.366506Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26NOV01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26NOV01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T04:59:00Z","volume":15749.94,"volume_24hr":894.15,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-65.85000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.44289779663086,"normalized_volume":27.196857452392578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T04:55:42.749516Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T04:15:28.482370Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26SEP01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26SEP01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","volume":27877.71,"volume_24hr":134.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":112.13000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.524971961975098,"normalized_volume":30.50522232055664,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:48:55.874148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T05:45:59.803010Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26AUG01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26AUG01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":32744.91,"volume_24hr":159.54,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":159.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.063047409057617,"normalized_volume":31.47191047668457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T02:22:16.477029Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T02:20:42.237635Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26DEC01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26DEC01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","volume":13274.79,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.24319839477539,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-20T22:16:59.592082Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T22:16:59.592082Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26APR01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26APR01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2390.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.621614456176758,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:32.949951Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:32.949951Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUL01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUL01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","volume":77823.17,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1870.38,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.93116760253906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:27:56.357867Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T05:19:52.149722Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUN01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUN01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Jun 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":8907.7,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.084117889404297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T04:04:32.292789Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T14:40:54.614984Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26MAY01","event_id":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","slug":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26MAY01","question":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before May 1, 2026","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-26T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","volume":3019.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.69552230834961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:32.949951Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:32.949951Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger/when-will-tesla-and-spacex-merge/kxcompanyactionmerger-27","event_title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","as_of":"2026-06-21T13:32:50.213703Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?\" — top market at 70% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}