{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","ticker":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4518277.319999999,"volume_24hr":210229.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":52.60514450073242,"normalized_volume":63.39128112792969,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2495752.71,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2028","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-550.44,"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.803376Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.803376Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","chart_24h":[288843.87,288634.58,274272.37,274240.51,256714.53,251976.38,339764.6,338057.09,339143.31,315099.68,315299.99,310051.38,311176.0,325537.27,325433.44,324236.26,326097.19,257006.18000000002,255809.21,255982.95,254728.46000000002,253401.21000000002,155895.58000000002,156264.44,158751.84,153844.69,151272.46,149085.11,148837.77,149506.29,149220.72,153538.79,153204.44999999998,155959.95,153128.37,200803.66999999998,206075.19,210179.64],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-27JAN-28","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-27JAN-28","question":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If a crypto market structure bill become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":13769.97,"volume_24hr":114.06,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-550.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.229866027832031,"normalized_volume":28.274450302124023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T13:24:49.496860Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-27JAN-27OCT01","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-27JAN-27OCT01","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill become law before Oct 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2027","description":"If a crypto market structure bill become law before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-10-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-10-01T14:00:00Z","volume":20391.87,"volume_24hr":13.88,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-529.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6642231941223145,"normalized_volume":30.652095794677734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:06:43.116069Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:04:30.885651Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T13:24:49.496860Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-27JAN-27JUL","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-27JAN-27JUL","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill become law before Jul 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jul 1, 2027","description":"If a crypto market structure bill become law before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":30739.04,"volume_24hr":3915.12,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":-1352.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.011991500854492,"normalized_volume":33.239864349365234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.912421Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.912421Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T13:24:49.496860Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-27APR","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-27APR","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill become law before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If a crypto market structure bill become law before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T14:00:00Z","volume":22973.24,"volume_24hr":204.36,"prob_24h_change":-0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-120.00999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.361868858337402,"normalized_volume":31.392866134643555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T13:24:49.496860Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-27","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-27","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":849669.85,"volume_24hr":51052.45,"prob_24h_change":-0.07000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":41448.42999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.94832229614258,"normalized_volume":58.02424621582031,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.912421Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.912421Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-DEC","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-DEC","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Dec 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-01T15:00:00Z","volume":65791.51,"volume_24hr":2418.28,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-1808.0399999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.184457778930664,"normalized_volume":38.31564712524414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:24:33.537258Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:06:26.836314Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-NOV","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-NOV","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Nov 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T15:00:00Z","volume":51558.96,"volume_24hr":2721.78,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":2376.8500000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.862585067749023,"normalized_volume":36.65041732788086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:24:33.537258Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T15:06:26.836314Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-OCT","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-OCT","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T14:00:00Z","volume":125958.37,"volume_24hr":5242.92,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-5926.549999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.80860710144043,"normalized_volume":42.93291473388672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:24:33.537258Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:22:12.128043Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T14:50:51.369229Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-SEP","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-SEP","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","volume":1310458.39,"volume_24hr":144546.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-112852.94999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.587528228759766,"normalized_volume":61.760276794433594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.912421Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T14:39:32.912421Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T14:50:51.369229Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-APR","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-APR","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Apr 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before April","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T14:00:00Z","volume":194344.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.1623420715332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-MAR","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-MAR","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Mar 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before March","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-03-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-01T15:00:00Z","volume":59035.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.570838928222656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-AUG","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-AUG","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Aug 1, 2026","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-20T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","volume":1107892.66,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":60.301937103271484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:38:52.977749Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T00:54:52.305462Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-JUL","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-JUL","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jul 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before July","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-20T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","volume":320483.37,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.03255844116211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T14:08:51.578128Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T15:17:22.600050Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-JUN","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-JUN","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before June","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-01T04:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T04:00:00Z","volume":598590.09,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":55.08522033691406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T04:04:32.292789Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T03:10:37.152115Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-MAY","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-MAY","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before May 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before May","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","volume":569953.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":54.679962158203125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-FEB","event_id":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","slug":"KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN-FEB","question":"Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Feb 1, 2027","description":"If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"crypto market structure legislation\" means any bill that does all of the following:\n\nEstablishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND\nDelineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND\nCreates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.\n\nThe following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nBills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;\nBills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;\nBills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);\nAppropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;\nBills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;\nExecutive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts);\nBills that pass only one chamber of Congress;\nBills that are vetoed and not overridden;\nState legislation of any kind\n\nExamples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nThe Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law;\nAny omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above.\n\nExamples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion:\n\nThe GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);\nThe Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);\nA bill that passes the House but not the Senate;\nAn executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-30T03:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T00:47:44.787183Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:28.665667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/kxcryptostructure-26jan","event_title":"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN","as_of":"2026-08-05T14:40:30.290625Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will crypto market structure legislation become law?\" — top market at 3% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}