{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","ticker":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32460.530000000002,"volume_24hr":148.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.293317794799805,"normalized_volume":28.411375045776367,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":15845.310000000001,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gavin Newsom","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:12:45.926209Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:12:45.926209Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","chart_24h":[0.0,10.93,148.4],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GNEW","question":"Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":"If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":10429.04,"volume_24hr":10.93,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.423969268798828,"normalized_volume":26.239980697631836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:04:01.473000Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:04:01.473000Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JSHA","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JSHA","question":"Will Josh Shapiro be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":"If Josh Shapiro is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.034,0.966],"probability":0.034,"spread":0.055,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":3332.23,"volume_24hr":137.47,"prob_24h_change":-0.028999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":137.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.58877944946289,"normalized_volume":20.168514251708984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:42:06.222522Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:42:06.222522Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.063,0.063,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-KHAR","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-KHAR","question":"Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":"If Kamala Harris is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":8547.17,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.123538970947266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:44:39.985022Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T15:13:52.267275Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-ABES","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-ABES","question":"Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":"If Andy Beshear is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.084,0.916],"probability":0.084,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":3143.08,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.879053115844727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:53:06.955525Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T23:05:54.180008Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.084,0.084]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS","question":"Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":"If Jon Ossoff is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.072,0.928],"probability":0.072,"spread":0.0010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":1998.41,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.70708465576172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:07.253709Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T19:34:13.219388Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.072,0.072]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-WMOO","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-WMOO","question":"Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Wes Moore","description":"If Wes Moore is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.068,0.9319999999999999],"probability":0.068,"spread":0.013000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":284.86,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.803763389587402,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:53:06.955525Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T23:05:54.180008Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.068,0.068]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-PBUT","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-PBUT","question":"Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":"If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.061,0.9390000000000001],"probability":0.061,"spread":0.011999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":921.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.286171913146973,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:04:01.473000Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:04:01.473000Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JPRI","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JPRI","question":"Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"J.B. Pritzker","description":"If J.B. Pritzker is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":1622.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.749225616455078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:53:06.955525Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T23:05:54.180008Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-AOCA","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-AOCA","question":"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":"If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.012999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":1102.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.045833587646484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:13:55.777951Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T03:20:24.002467Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GWHI","event_id":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","slug":"KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GWHI","question":"Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":"If Gretchen Whitmer is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, \"considering\" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.011,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-14T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-07T04:59:00Z","volume":1079.59,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.956015586853027,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:34:39.331706Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T18:55:47.071741Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdeclarepresfirstd/who-will-be-the-first-democrat-listed-to-announce-a-presidential-run/kxdeclarepresfirstd-28nov07","event_title":"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:49:04.603329Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?\" — top market at 3% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}